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Al Wasl vs Al Ahli SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Champions League Zabeel Stadium, Dubai
Mon, Oct 12, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Wasl host Al Ahli SC in the AFC Champions League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Al Ahli SC have shipped 1.34 goals a game lately, while Al Wasl have conceded 1.48 and scored 2. Past meetings favor Al Ahli SC slightly — 0-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 30, 2024, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 1.69, favoring Al Ahli SC. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Al Wasl
20%
Draws
33%
Al Ahli SC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Wasl

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Ahli SC lately — more wins on the board than Al Wasl.
  • Win probability leans Al Wasl's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Al Ahli SC have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Al Wasl Clean Sheet 13%
Al Ahli SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Wasl Al Ahli SC
Matches Played 27 32
Wins 14 17
Draws 4 5
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 2 1.84
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2024 AFC Champions League
Al Wasl vs Al Ahli SC
0:2
Feb 25, 2019 Arab Club Champions Cup
Al Ahli SC vs Al Wasl
2:1
Feb 16, 2019 Arab Club Champions Cup
Al Wasl vs Al Ahli SC
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Wasl 57 / 100
Al Ahli SC 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Wasl Al Ahli SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Wasl Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Wasl's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Al Ahli SC has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Al Wasl has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Wasl VS Al Ahli SC
2.25 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Wasl

(Home)
02 Oct
Al Wasl
4 : 0
Ittihad Kalba
19 Sept
Al Wasl
3 : 2
Al Ain
14 Sept
Al Qadsiah
2 : 1
Al Wasl
10 Sept
Al Ain
2 : 2
Al Wasl
04 Sept
Al Wasl
5 : 2
Khorfakkan
Page 1 of 6

Al Ahli SC

(Away)
19 Sept
Mamelodi Sundowns
2 : 1
Al Ahli SC
14 Sept
Al Ahli SC
1 : 1
Pakhtakor
11 Sept
Al Ahli SC
3 : 1
Al Hazem Rass
08 Sept
Al Qadsiah
3 : 2
Al Ahli SC
04 Sept
Al Ahli SC
5 : 0
Al Riyadh
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kashima Antlers 1 1 0 0 7:1 3
2 Gamba Osaka 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
3 Shanghai Port 1 1 0 0 6:4 3
4 Beijing Guoan 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
5 Vissel Kobe 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
6 Jeonbuk 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
7 Daejeon 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
8 Buriram United F.C. 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
9 Johor DT 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
10 Kashiwa Reysol 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
11 Port MTI FC 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
12 Kyoto 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
13 Ratchaburi 1 0 0 1 4:6 0
14 Pohang 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
15 Cong An Ha Noi 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
16 Newcastle Jets 1 0 0 1 1:7 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ain 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
2 Esteghlal TEH 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
3 Al Hilal 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
4 Al Qadsiah 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
5 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
6 Neftchi Fargona 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
7 Pakhtakor 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
8 Al Ittihad 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
9 Al Ahli SC 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
10 Shamal 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
11 Al Gharafa 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
12 Al Wasl 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
13 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
14 Tractor 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
15 Al Sadd 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
16 Al Nassr 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)