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Al Wasl vs Ittihad Kalba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates

League Cup Zabeel Stadium, Dubai
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Vergaz A.
31'
Adryelson
36'
Ghoddos S.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-0. The second leg ended 4-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Al Wasl
15%
Draws
32%
Ittihad Kalba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Wasl

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Wasl carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Al Wasl taking it.
  • Al Wasl have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Wasl, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Al Wasl Clean Sheet 20%
Ittihad Kalba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Wasl Ittihad Kalba
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 4
Draws 5 8
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.93 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.43 2.18
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 League Cup
Al Wasl vs Ittihad Kalba
4:0
Aug 21, 2026 UAE League
Ittihad Kalba vs Al Wasl
0:3
May 15, 2026 UAE League
Al Wasl vs Ittihad Kalba
2:1
Jan 7, 2026 UAE League
Ittihad Kalba vs Al Wasl
2:2
Jan 30, 2025 UAE League
Al Wasl vs Ittihad Kalba
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Wasl Compare

Top Goalscorer Renato Junior
1 Goals
Assists Leader Palacios Alzate B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Ittihad Kalba Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Wasl 85 / 100
Ittihad Kalba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Wasl Ittihad Kalba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Wasl Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ittihad Kalba has conceded goals in 93% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Al Wasl scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Al Wasl has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Wasl VS Ittihad Kalba
2.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Wasl

(Home)
02 Oct
Al Wasl
4 : 0
Ittihad Kalba
19 Sept
Al Wasl
3 : 2
Al Ain
14 Sept
Al Qadsiah
2 : 1
Al Wasl
10 Sept
Al Ain
2 : 2
Al Wasl
04 Sept
Al Wasl
5 : 2
Khorfakkan
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Ittihad Kalba

(Away)
02 Oct
Al Wasl
4 : 0
Ittihad Kalba
19 Sept
Ittihad Kalba
2 : 1
Khorfakkan
11 Sept
Ajman
2 : 3
Ittihad Kalba
04 Sept
Ittihad Kalba
0 : 2
Al Ain
28 Aug
United FC
4 : 1
Ittihad Kalba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Wasl 3 3 0 0 9:3 9
2 Ajman 3 3 0 0 7:4 9
3 Al Nasr 3 2 1 0 8:3 7
4 Al Jazira 3 2 1 0 3:0 7
5 Bani Yas 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
6 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 3 1 2 0 5:4 5
7 Al Sharjah 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
8 Ittihad Kalba 3 1 1 1 4:7 4
9 Al Wahda 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
10 United FC 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
11 Al Ain 3 0 1 2 6:8 1
12 Hatta 3 0 1 2 5:9 1
13 Khorfakkan 3 0 0 3 2:6 0
14 Al Dhafra 3 0 0 3 2:7 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)