Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Al Watan in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Watan.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Watan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Al Dahra haven't matched Al Watan's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and Al Watan have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Al Watan Clean Sheet 20%
Al Dahra Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Watan | Al Dahra |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 33 |
| Wins | 9 | 6 |
| Draws | 9 | 11 |
| Losses | 12 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1.64 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 9, 2026 Premier League
Al Watan vs Al Dahra
1:0
Jan 5, 2026 Premier League
Al Dahra vs Al Watan
0:1
Apr 6, 2025 Premier League
Al Dahra vs Al Watan
3:3
Jan 22, 2025 Premier League
Al Watan vs Al Dahra
3:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Watan 31 / 100
Al Dahra 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Watan Al Dahra
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Watan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al Dahra let in goals in 91% of their last 33 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.
Al Dahra lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Al Watan scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
Al Watan VS Al Dahra
0.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
25% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Watan
(Home) 23 Apr
Al Watan
4 : 3 Al Qadisiyah
18 Apr
Asswehly
0 : 1 Al Watan
13 Apr
Al Watan
0 : 1 Al-Khmes
09 Apr
Abu Salim
1 : 0 Al Watan
14 Mar
Al Watan
0 : 3 Al Ahly Tripoli
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23 Apr
Al Watan
4 : 3 Al Qadisiyah
13 Apr
Al Watan
0 : 1 Al-Khmes
14 Mar
Al Watan
0 : 3 Al Ahly Tripoli
09 Mar
Al Watan
1 : 0 Al Dahra
26 Feb
Al Watan
0 : 0 Al Malaab El Libby
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Al Dahra
(Away) 23 Apr
Al Dahra
1 : 2 Al Malaab El Libby
18 Apr
Abu Salim
1 : 2 Al Dahra
13 Apr
Al Dahra
3 : 3 Al Madina
09 Apr
Al Ahly Tripoli
1 : 0 Al Dahra
15 Mar
Al Dahra
2 : 3 Al Qadisiyah
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18 Apr
Abu Salim
1 : 2 Al Dahra
09 Apr
Al Ahly Tripoli
1 : 0 Al Dahra
09 Mar
Al Watan
1 : 0 Al Dahra
25 Feb
Assabah
0 : 0 Al Dahra
20 Feb
Al-Khmes
3 : 2 Al Dahra
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ahly Tripoli | 18 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 47:9 | 47 |
| 2 | Asswehly | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 35:9 | 43 |
| 3 | Al Madina | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 23:22 | 28 |
| 4 | Al Watan | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 14:18 | 23 |
| 5 | Assabah | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 12:18 | 22 |
| 6 | Al Malaab El Libby | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 15:21 | 20 |
| 7 | Al-Khmes | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19:31 | 20 |
| 8 | Al Qadisiyah | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 11:24 | 19 |
| 9 | Al Dahra | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20:27 | 14 |
| 10 | Abu Salim | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 13:30 | 13 |
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Ittihad | 16 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 35:9 | 42 |
| 2 | Olympic Azzaweya | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 25:11 | 31 |
| 3 | Al Ittihad Misurata | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 21:11 | 27 |
| 4 | Al-Majd | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 14:13 | 23 |
| 5 | Al Shomooa | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24:19 | 22 |
| 6 | Shabab Al-Ghar | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 17:27 | 18 |
| 7 | Al Tirsana | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 15:23 | 16 |
| 8 | Ittihad Gharyan | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 10:25 | 10 |
| 9 | Abi Al Ashar | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 9:32 | 6 |
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Military Union | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 26:9 | 35 |
| 2 | Al Hilal Benghazi | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 20:11 | 34 |
| 3 | Al Ahly Benghazi | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 23:6 | 33 |
| 4 | Al Taawun | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 19:14 | 26 |
| 5 | Darnes | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16:16 | 20 |
| 6 | Al Sadaqa | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 16:17 | 19 |
| 7 | Al-Anwar | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 8 | Al Borouq | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 7:21 | 10 |
| 9 | Al-Suqoor | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 13:35 | 6 |
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Nasr | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 28:7 | 35 |
| 2 | Al Akhdar | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 16:9 | 28 |
| 3 | Al-Afreeki | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29:18 | 23 |
| 4 | Al Tahaddi | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 21:14 | 21 |
| 5 | Khaleej Sirte | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 25:22 | 19 |
| 6 | Wefaq Ajdabiya | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13:17 | 18 |
| 7 | Al Murooj SC | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 16:24 | 13 |
| 8 | Al-Andalus | 14 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1:38 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
