Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Wehda vs Al Shabab Prediction & H2H Stats

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

King Cup King Abdul Aziz Stadium, Mecca
Al Wehda Logo

Al Wehda

Sun, Aug 16, 2026
3 - 2
06:00 PM
Al Shabab Logo

Al Shabab

Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Carlos Junior
22'
Al Taleb F.
33'
Carlos Junior
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. The second leg ended 3-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Al Wehda
35%
Draws
19%
Al Shabab
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Wehda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Wehda come out ahead of Al Shabab on wins alone.
  • Al Wehda are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Al Wehda have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Wehda, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Al Wehda Clean Sheet 16%
Al Shabab Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Wehda Al Shabab
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 12 11
Draws 9 9
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.63 1.91
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 King Cup
Al Wehda vs Al Shabab
3:2
Apr 6, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Wehda vs Al Shabab
1:3
Oct 31, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Shabab vs Al Wehda
3:1
Dec 30, 2023 Saudi Professional League
Al Shabab vs Al Wehda
1:0
Aug 18, 2023 Saudi Professional League
Al Wehda vs Al Shabab
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Wehda Compare

Top Goalscorer Khadhari M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Morato
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Al Shabab Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Wehda 66 / 100
Al Shabab 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Wehda Al Shabab

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Wehda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Al Wehda stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Al Wehda scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Al Shabab's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Wehda VS Al Shabab
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Wehda

(Home)
20 Sept
Al Jandal
2 : 2
Al Wehda
14 Sept
Al Wehda
4 : 2
Al Okhdood
07 Sept
Al Jabalain
0 : 0
Al Wehda
02 Sept
Al Wehda
2 : 2
Damac
26 Aug
Al Zulfi
0 : 0
Al Wehda
Page 1 of 6

Al Shabab

(Away)
12 Sept
Al Shabab
0 : 0
Al Fayha
09 Sept
Al Kholood
2 : 1
Al Shabab
04 Sept
Al Shabab
0 : 2
Al Hilal
30 Aug
Al Hazem Rass
1 : 1
Al Shabab
25 Aug
Al Shabab
3 : 3
Al Riyadh
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Al Raed 0
Al Hilal 2
Al Bukiryah 2
Al Hazem Rass 3
Al Orubah 1
Abha 0
Al Okhdood 2
Al Khaleej 0
Al-Ula 3
Al Fateh 0
Al Anwar 1
Al Ahli SC 2
Al Zulfi 0
Al Riyadh 2
Al Adalah 0
Al Fayha 2
Al Jabalain 1
Al Ettifaq FC 0
Al Najma 0
Al Ittihad 3
Al Diriyah 1
Al Nassr 4
Jeddah Club 0
Al Kholood 5
Damac 0
Al Taawon 3
Al Wehda 3
Al Shabab 2
Al Taee 0
Al Qadsiah 5
Al-Faisaly 1
Neom SC 3
1/8-finals
Al Hilal -
Al Hazem Rass -
Al Orubah -
Al Okhdood -
Al-Ula -
Al Ahli SC -
Al Riyadh -
Al Fayha -
Al Jabalain -
Al Ittihad -
Al Nassr -
Al Kholood -
Al Taawon -
Al Wehda -
Al Qadsiah -
Neom SC -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -