Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Yarmuk vs Al Ahli

Yemen Yemen

Division 1
Thu, Jul 16, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Yarmuk host Al Ahli in the Division 1. Little to choose between these two on current form. Al Ahli have shipped 1.25 goals a game lately, while Al Yarmuk have conceded 0.75 and scored 1.25. Past meetings favor Al Ahli slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 15, 2021, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 0.75) point toward Al Ahli. Al Ahli in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Al Yarmuk
33%
Draws
27%
Al Ahli
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Al Yarmuk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Ahli come out ahead of Al Yarmuk on wins alone.
  • Al Yarmuk are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Al Yarmuk Clean Sheet 20%
Al Ahli Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Yarmuk Al Ahli
Matches Played 18 33
Wins 7 18
Draws 5 5
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.25 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2021 Division 1
Al Yarmuk vs Al Ahli
2:0
Sep 21, 2021 Division 1
Al Ahli vs Al Yarmuk
4:0
Mar 20, 2015 Division 1
Al Ahli vs Al Yarmuk
0:0
Dec 13, 2014 Division 1
Al Yarmuk vs Al Ahli
0:1
Mar 30, 2014 Division 1
Al Ahli vs Al Yarmuk
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Yarmuk 40 / 100
Al Ahli 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Yarmuk Al Ahli

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Yarmuk's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 18 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Al Yarmuk has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Al Ahli let in goals in 39% of their last 33 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Yarmuk VS Al Ahli
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Shabab Hadramaut761010:119
2Tadamone Hadramout75119:216
3Al Sadd743013:515
4Al Oruba750210:815
5Al Wahda741210:613
6Al Yarmuk741210:613
7Mukallah74127:313
8Al Ahli74127:413
9Fhman72146:67
10Al Hilal71155:144
11Al Baydaa71155:154
12Ittihad Hadramout71068:143
13Salam71063:123
14Al-Ittihad70252:92