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Al Yarmuk vs Al Ahli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Yemen Yemen

Division 1
Al Yarmuk Logo

Al Yarmuk

1 - 1
FT
Al Ahli Logo

Al Ahli

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Al Yarmuk and Al Ahli finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Al Yarmuk
35%
Draws
37%
Al Ahli
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Ahli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Ahli come out ahead of Al Yarmuk on wins alone.
  • Al Ahli are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Al Yarmuk Clean Sheet 20%
Al Ahli Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Yarmuk Al Ahli
Matches Played 21 35
Wins 8 17
Draws 8 8
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.24 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.05 0.66
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2026 Division 1
Al Yarmuk vs Al Ahli
1:1
Oct 15, 2021 Division 1
Al Yarmuk vs Al Ahli
2:0
Sep 21, 2021 Division 1
Al Ahli vs Al Yarmuk
4:0
Mar 20, 2015 Division 1
Al Ahli vs Al Yarmuk
0:0
Dec 13, 2014 Division 1
Al Yarmuk vs Al Ahli
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Yarmuk 28 / 100
Al Ahli 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Yarmuk Al Ahli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ahli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Al Yarmuk stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Al Yarmuk's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 21 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Al Ahli let in goals in 37% of their last 35 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Yarmuk VS Al Ahli
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Yarmuk

(Home)
19 Aug
Al Oruba
0 : 1
Al Yarmuk
13 Aug
Al Wahda
0 : 0
Al Yarmuk
07 Aug
Al Ittihad
2 : 2
Al Yarmuk
22 Jul
Al Yarmuk
1 : 1
Tadamone Hadramout
16 Jul
Al Yarmuk
1 : 1
Al Ahli
Page 1 of 5

Al Ahli

(Away)
20 Aug
Al Baydaa
0 : 2
Al Ahli
12 Aug
Al Ahli
4 : 0
Al Ittihad
06 Aug
Al Ahli
0 : 0
Al Shabab Hadramaut
24 Jul
Ittihad Hadramout
0 : 0
Al Ahli
16 Jul
Al Yarmuk
1 : 1
Al Ahli
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Shabab Hadramaut 12 9 2 1 18:3 29
2 Tadamone Hadramout 12 8 2 2 15:5 26
3 Al Sadd 12 6 4 2 19:9 22
4 Al Ahli 12 6 4 2 14:5 22
5 Al Wahda 11 6 3 2 14:8 21
6 Fhman 12 6 2 4 16:9 20
7 Al Yarmuk 12 5 5 2 15:10 20
8 Mukallah 12 6 1 5 14:11 19
9 Al Oruba 12 6 1 5 15:16 19
10 Ittihad Hadramout 12 3 1 8 12:19 10
11 Al Ittihad 12 2 3 7 7:18 9
12 Al Hilal 11 2 1 8 8:22 7
13 Salam 12 2 0 10 6:20 6
14 Al Baydaa 12 1 1 10 6:24 4
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