Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Yarmuk vs Salam

Yemen Yemen

Division 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Yarmuk play Salam in the Division 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, Al Yarmuk averaged 1.22 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. Salam averaged 1.18 goals scored and 1.54 conceded. In past meetings, Al Yarmuk won 1, Salam won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jul 4, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.32 for Al Yarmuk and 0.79 for Salam. This points to a Al Yarmuk double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Al Yarmuk
35%
Draws
16%
Salam
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Yarmuk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Yarmuk picked up more points recently compared to Salam.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.32 vs 0.79 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Al Yarmuk Clean Sheet 26%
Salam Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Yarmuk Salam
Matches Played 18 28
Wins 6 6
Draws 6 7
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.22 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.14 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.71 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Division 1
Al Yarmuk vs Salam
2:1
Feb 25, 2010 Division 1
Al Yarmuk vs Salam
0:0
Nov 5, 2009 Division 1
Salam vs Al Yarmuk
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Yarmuk 49 / 100
Salam 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Yarmuk Salam

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Al Yarmuk or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19.6%
2.44
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Al Yarmuk attacking → ← attacking Salam

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Yarmuk scored in 78% of their last 18 games.

Salam let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Al Yarmuk went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Salam lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 25
1.14 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.71 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al Shabab Hadramaut761010:119
2Tadamone Hadramout75119:216
3Al Oruba750210:815
4Al Wahda741210:613
5Mukallah74127:313
6Al Ahli74127:413
7Al Sadd63308:312
8Al Yarmuk63128:510
9Fhman72146:67
10Al Hilal61143:94
11Al Baydaa71155:154
12Ittihad Hadramout61057:123
13Salam71063:123
14Al-Ittihad70252:92