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Al Zawraa vs Al Gharraf - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Qasim M.
28' Event
Ahmed H.
Assist: Abdulkareem H.

AI Match Summary

Al Zawraa in this Stars League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Zawraa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Al Zawraa
30%
Draws
12%
Al Gharraf
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Zawraa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Zawraa lately — more wins on the board than Al Gharraf.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Al Zawraa taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Al Zawraa have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Al Zawraa Clean Sheet 68%
Al Gharraf Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Zawraa Al Gharraf
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 11 9
Losses 4 15
Goals Scored 1.45 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2026 Stars League
Al Zawraa vs Al Gharraf
2:0
Mar 17, 2026 Stars League
Al Gharraf vs Al Zawraa
0:1
Jan 5, 2026 Stars League
Al Zawraa vs Al Gharraf
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Zawraa Compare

Top Goalscorer Qasim M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ahmed H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Al Gharraf Compare

Avg xG / game 0.4
Avg xA / game 0.24

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Zawraa 95 / 100
Al Gharraf 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Zawraa Al Gharraf

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Zawraa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Zawraa scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Al Gharraf let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Al Zawraa remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Al Gharraf's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Zawraa VS Al Gharraf
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Zawraa

(Home)
08 Oct
Duhok
3 : 0
Al Zawraa
17 Sept
Al Zawraa
2 : 0
Al Gharraf
10 Sept
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0 : 1
Al Zawraa
07 Sept
Al Zawraa
1 : 0
Al Kahraba
03 Sept
Al Mosul
2 : 2
Al Zawraa
Page 1 of 6

Al Gharraf

(Away)
09 Oct
Al Gharraf
0 : 0
Al Golan
17 Sept
Al Zawraa
2 : 0
Al Gharraf
12 Sept
Diyala
3 : 1
Al Gharraf
08 Sept
Al Gharraf
1 : 2
Al Shorta
03 Sept
Al Kahraba
0 : 0
Al Gharraf
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Karma 8 6 2 0 14:5 20
2 Newroz 9 5 3 1 14:4 18
3 Al Zawraa 9 5 3 1 15:6 18
4 Erbil 9 5 3 1 13:4 18
5 Al Naft 9 5 3 1 11:5 18
6 Al Shorta 9 4 4 1 9:4 16
7 Duhok 9 2 6 1 14:11 12
8 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 9 2 5 2 14:12 11
9 Al Golan 9 2 5 2 8:9 11
10 Al Minaa 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
11 Diyala 9 2 3 4 13:16 9
12 Zakho 9 2 3 4 7:12 9
13 Ghaz Al Shamal 8 1 5 2 4:5 8
14 Al Talaba 9 1 5 3 9:14 8
15 Naft Missan 9 1 5 3 7:12 8
16 Al Mosul 9 2 2 5 9:15 8
17 Al Karkh 8 2 1 5 10:14 7
18 Al Kahraba 8 1 4 3 6:10 7
19 Al Gharraf 9 1 3 5 4:12 6
20 Karbala 8 1 2 5 6:15 5
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)