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Al Zawraa vs Al Kahraba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Cabrera M.
Assist: Al Ani L.

AI Match Summary

Al Zawraa in this Stars League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Zawraa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Al Zawraa
30%
Draws
23%
Al Kahraba
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Zawraa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Zawraa lately — more wins on the board than Al Kahraba.
  • Al Zawraa are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Al Zawraa have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Al Zawraa Clean Sheet 20%
Al Kahraba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Zawraa Al Kahraba
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 14 8
Draws 11 6
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 1.45 1.3
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 Stars League
Al Zawraa vs Al Kahraba
1:0
Mar 25, 2026 Stars League
Al Zawraa vs Al Kahraba
1:0
Jan 1, 2026 Stars League
Al Kahraba vs Al Zawraa
0:1
Mar 3, 2025 Stars League
Al Zawraa vs Al Kahraba
3:0
Jan 10, 2025 Stars League
Al Kahraba vs Al Zawraa
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Zawraa Compare

Top Goalscorer Cabrera M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Al Kahraba Compare

Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Zawraa 85 / 100
Al Kahraba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Zawraa Al Kahraba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Zawraa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Zawraa's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Al Kahraba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 27 matches.

Al Zawraa has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Al Zawraa VS Al Kahraba
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Zawraa

(Home)
08 Oct
Duhok
3 : 0
Al Zawraa
17 Sept
Al Zawraa
2 : 0
Al Gharraf
10 Sept
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0 : 1
Al Zawraa
07 Sept
Al Zawraa
1 : 0
Al Kahraba
03 Sept
Al Mosul
2 : 2
Al Zawraa
Page 1 of 6

Al Kahraba

(Away)
19 Sept
Al Shorta
2 : 0
Al Kahraba
13 Sept
Al Kahraba
2 : 1
Al Minaa
07 Sept
Al Zawraa
1 : 0
Al Kahraba
03 Sept
Al Kahraba
0 : 0
Al Gharraf
29 Aug
Al Karkh
2 : 2
Al Kahraba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Karma 8 6 2 0 14:5 20
2 Newroz 9 5 3 1 14:4 18
3 Al Zawraa 9 5 3 1 15:6 18
4 Erbil 9 5 3 1 13:4 18
5 Al Naft 9 5 3 1 11:5 18
6 Al Shorta 9 4 4 1 9:4 16
7 Duhok 9 2 6 1 14:11 12
8 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 9 2 5 2 14:12 11
9 Al Golan 9 2 5 2 8:9 11
10 Al Minaa 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
11 Diyala 9 2 3 4 13:16 9
12 Zakho 9 2 3 4 7:12 9
13 Ghaz Al Shamal 8 1 5 2 4:5 8
14 Al Talaba 9 1 5 3 9:14 8
15 Naft Missan 9 1 5 3 7:12 8
16 Al Mosul 9 2 2 5 9:15 8
17 Al Karkh 8 2 1 5 10:14 7
18 Al Kahraba 8 1 4 3 6:10 7
19 Al Gharraf 9 1 3 5 4:12 6
20 Karbala 8 1 2 5 6:15 5
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)