Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Zawraa vs Al Karkh

Iraq Iraq

Stars League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

61' Event
Mahdi Al Saedi S. M.
90' Event
Abdulkareem H.
90' Event
Mohammad M.

AI Match Summary

Al Zawraa in this Stars League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Zawraa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Al Zawraa
20%
Draws
28%
Al Karkh
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Zawraa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Karkh haven't matched Al Zawraa's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Al Zawraa a 52% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Al Zawraa Clean Sheet 68%
Al Karkh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Zawraa Al Karkh
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 16 12
Draws 11 8
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 1.47 1.28
Goals Conceded 0.78 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Stars League
Al Zawraa vs Al Karkh
3:0
Feb 21, 2026 Stars League
Al Karkh vs Al Zawraa
3:1
Jun 20, 2025 Stars League
Al Karkh vs Al Zawraa
2:1
Sep 26, 2024 Stars League
Al Zawraa vs Al Karkh
2:1
Apr 26, 2024 Stars League
Al Karkh vs Al Zawraa
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Zawraa Compare

Top Goalscorer Mahdi Al Saedi S. M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abdulkareem H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Al Karkh Compare

Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Zawraa 95 / 100
Al Karkh 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Zawraa Al Karkh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Zawraa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Zawraa's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Al Karkh's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Al Zawraa remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Zawraa VS Al Karkh
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Zawraa

(Home)
17 Sept
Al Zawraa
2 : 0
Al Gharraf
10 Sept
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0 : 1
Al Zawraa
07 Sept
Al Zawraa
1 : 0
Al Kahraba
03 Sept
Al Mosul
2 : 2
Al Zawraa
29 Aug
Al Zawraa
4 : 0
Zakho
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Al Karkh

(Away)
17 Sept
Al Karkh
3 : 2
Naft Missan
13 Sept
Al Karkh
3 : 2
Duhok
09 Sept
Al Talaba
3 : 2
Al Karkh
04 Sept
Karbala
1 : 0
Al Karkh
29 Aug
Al Karkh
2 : 2
Al Kahraba
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 38 27 8 3 62:28 89
2 Al Shorta 38 24 8 6 69:32 80
3 Erbil 38 23 10 5 59:32 79
4 Al Zawraa 38 17 15 6 50:32 66
5 Al-Karma 38 17 14 7 53:26 65
6 Al Talaba 38 18 11 9 53:38 65
7 Al Karkh 38 16 12 10 51:41 60
8 Newroz 38 16 6 16 48:47 54
9 Zakho 38 14 11 13 49:45 53
10 Duhok 38 13 11 14 44:45 50
11 Diyala 38 13 10 15 40:42 49
12 Al Naft 38 11 15 12 33:34 48
13 Al Mosul 38 11 14 13 46:49 47
14 Al Gharraf 38 11 11 16 40:43 44
15 Naft Missan 38 11 10 17 48:57 43
16 Al Minaa 38 9 13 16 38:47 40
17 Al Kahraba 37 11 5 21 44:56 38
18 Baghdad 38 10 7 21 47:68 37
19 Al Najaf 37 6 5 26 31:68 23
20 Al-Qassim 38 0 6 32 21:96 6
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League 2025/2026 (Relegation)