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Al Zawraa vs Al Nasr - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

Gulf Club Champions League Al-Zawraa Stadium, Baghdad
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Zawraa host Al Nasr in the Gulf Club Champions League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Al Zawraa have averaged 1.48 scored and 0.97 conceded recently, against Al Nasr's 1.64 scored and 1.21 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.38, favoring Al Zawraa. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Al Zawraa
20%
Draws
52%
Al Nasr
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Nasr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Zawraa come out ahead of Al Nasr on wins alone.
  • Model gives Al Nasr a 52% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Gulf Club Champions League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Al Zawraa Clean Sheet 17%
Al Nasr Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Zawraa Al Nasr
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 11
Draws 10 11
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.48 1.64
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Zawraa 10 / 100
Al Nasr 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Zawraa Al Nasr

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Nasr Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Zawraa found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Al Nasr has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Al Zawraa has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Zawraa VS Al Nasr
1.88 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Zawraa

(Home)
18 Oct
Ghaz Al Shamal
1 : 0
Al Zawraa
13 Oct
Qatar SC
1 : 1
Al Zawraa
08 Oct
Duhok
3 : 0
Al Zawraa
17 Sept
Al Zawraa
2 : 0
Al Gharraf
10 Sept
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0 : 1
Al Zawraa
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Al Nasr

(Away)
17 Oct
Al Nasr
2 : 0
Hatta
13 Oct
Al Nasr
3 : 0
Al Riffa
08 Oct
Al Nasr
4 : 1
Hatta
02 Oct
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
1 : 1
Al Nasr
20 Sept
Al Nasr
3 : 1
United FC
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neom SC 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
2 Al Duhail 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
3 Al Shabab 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
4 Al Shabab Hadramaut 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Nasr 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
2 Al Zawraa 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Qatar SC 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Al Riffa 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ettifaq FC 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Ajman 1 1 0 0 5:4 3
3 Erbil 1 0 0 1 4:5 0
4 Kazma SC 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)