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Al Zawraa vs Al Shorta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Zawraa host Al Shorta in the Stars League. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Al Shorta have shipped 0.75 goals a game lately, while Al Zawraa have conceded 0.81 and scored 1.39. Head-to-head, Al Zawraa have won 2 to Al Shorta's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 13, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.00 - 0.88) back Al Shorta to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Al Zawraa
30%
Draws
43%
Al Shorta
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Shorta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Shorta lately — more wins on the board than Al Zawraa.
  • Al Shorta are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Al Zawraa Clean Sheet 20%
Al Shorta Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Zawraa Al Shorta
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 14 18
Draws 12 11
Losses 5 3
Goals Scored 1.39 1.66
Goals Conceded 0.81 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2026 Stars League
Al Shorta vs Al Zawraa
1:2
Feb 26, 2026 Stars League
Al Zawraa vs Al Shorta
1:2
Apr 22, 2025 Stars League
Al Shorta vs Al Zawraa
0:1
Feb 8, 2025 Stars League
Al Zawraa vs Al Shorta
0:0
Jul 14, 2024 Stars League
Al Zawraa vs Al Shorta
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Zawraa 28 / 100
Al Shorta 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Zawraa Al Shorta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Shorta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Zawraa found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Al Zawraa stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Al Shorta has conceded goals in 47% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Zawraa VS Al Shorta
1.88 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.13
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Zawraa

(Home)
18 Oct
Ghaz Al Shamal
1 : 0
Al Zawraa
13 Oct
Qatar SC
1 : 1
Al Zawraa
08 Oct
Duhok
3 : 0
Al Zawraa
17 Sept
Al Zawraa
2 : 0
Al Gharraf
10 Sept
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0 : 1
Al Zawraa
Page 1 of 7

Al Shorta

(Away)
18 Oct
Al Shorta
1 : 1
Al Karkh
13 Oct
East Bengal
2 : 3
Al Shorta
08 Oct
Al Talaba
0 : 0
Al Shorta
19 Sept
Al Shorta
2 : 0
Al Kahraba
16 Sept
Al Shorta
1 : 0
Al Seeb
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Karma 10 7 3 0 17:7 24
2 Newroz 10 6 3 1 16:4 21
3 Al Naft 10 6 3 1 13:5 21
4 Al Zawraa 10 5 3 2 15:7 18
5 Erbil 10 5 3 2 13:5 18
6 Al Shorta 10 4 5 1 10:5 17
7 Al Golan 10 3 5 2 10:9 14
8 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 10 2 6 2 14:12 12
9 Duhok 10 2 6 2 14:13 12
10 Diyala 10 3 3 4 15:16 12
11 Al Minaa 10 3 3 4 10:12 12
12 Ghaz Al Shamal 10 2 5 3 5:7 11
13 Al Talaba 10 2 5 3 10:14 11
14 Al Mosul 10 3 2 5 10:15 11
15 Zakho 10 2 3 5 7:14 9
16 Al Gharraf 10 2 3 5 6:13 9
17 Al Karkh 10 2 2 6 13:18 8
18 Al Kahraba 10 1 5 4 6:11 8
19 Naft Missan 10 1 5 4 7:14 8
20 Karbala 10 1 3 6 7:17 6
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)