Sport Picks
Match Events
10'
10'
Al Alawi R.
12'
12'
Hashem A.
73'
73'
Alsanati A.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Stars League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
44%
35%
21%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Zawraa
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
44%
/ Low Confidence
- Duhok haven't matched Al Zawraa's recent run of results.
- 44% — that's where the model lands on Al Zawraa taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Al Zawraa Clean Sheet 68%
Duhok Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Zawraa | Duhok |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 33 |
| Wins | 16 | 11 |
| Draws | 11 | 12 |
| Losses | 4 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.71 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 1, 2026 Stars League
Al Zawraa vs Duhok
2:2
Jan 28, 2026 Stars League
Duhok vs Al Zawraa
0:0
Apr 3, 2025 Stars League
Al Zawraa vs Duhok
1:2
Sep 20, 2024 Stars League
Duhok vs Al Zawraa
0:1
Jul 19, 2024 Stars League
Al Zawraa vs Duhok
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al Zawraa Compare
Top Goalscorer Hashem A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mohammad M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Duhok Compare
Top Goalscorer Al Alawi R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Alsanati A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Zawraa 95 / 100
Duhok 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Zawraa Duhok
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Zawraa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al Zawraa's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Al Zawraa went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Duhok conceded in 79% of 33 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Al Zawraa VS Duhok
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Zawraa
(Home) 17 Sept
Al Zawraa
2 : 0 Al Gharraf
10 Sept
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0 : 1 Al Zawraa
07 Sept
Al Zawraa
1 : 0 Al Kahraba
03 Sept
Al Mosul
2 : 2 Al Zawraa
29 Aug
Al Zawraa
4 : 0 Zakho
Page 1 of 7
17 Sept
Al Zawraa
2 : 0 Al Gharraf
07 Sept
Al Zawraa
1 : 0 Al Kahraba
29 Aug
Al Zawraa
4 : 0 Zakho
25 Aug
Al Zawraa
4 : 0 Naft Missan
15 Aug
Al Zawraa
0 : 0 Al Minaa
Page 1 of 4
Duhok
(Away) 18 Sept
Al Minaa
1 : 1 Duhok
13 Sept
Al Karkh
3 : 2 Duhok
08 Sept
Duhok
1 : 1 Ghaz Al Shamal
03 Sept
Duhok
2 : 1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
30 Aug
Newroz
0 : 0 Duhok
Page 1 of 7
18 Sept
Al Minaa
1 : 1 Duhok
13 Sept
Al Karkh
3 : 2 Duhok
30 Aug
Newroz
0 : 0 Duhok
26 Aug
Al Naft
1 : 1 Duhok
01 Jun
Diyala
1 : 0 Duhok
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 38 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 62:28 | 89 |
| 2 | Al Shorta | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 69:32 | 80 |
| 3 | Erbil | 38 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 59:32 | 79 |
| 4 | Al Zawraa | 38 | 17 | 15 | 6 | 50:32 | 66 |
| 5 | Al-Karma | 38 | 17 | 14 | 7 | 53:26 | 65 |
| 6 | Al Talaba | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 53:38 | 65 |
| 7 | Al Karkh | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51:41 | 60 |
| 8 | Newroz | 38 | 16 | 6 | 16 | 48:47 | 54 |
| 9 | Zakho | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 49:45 | 53 |
| 10 | Duhok | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 44:45 | 50 |
| 11 | Diyala | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40:42 | 49 |
| 12 | Al Naft | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 33:34 | 48 |
| 13 | Al Mosul | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 46:49 | 47 |
| 14 | Al Gharraf | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 40:43 | 44 |
| 15 | Naft Missan | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 48:57 | 43 |
| 16 | Al Minaa | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 38:47 | 40 |
| 17 | Al Kahraba | 37 | 11 | 5 | 21 | 44:56 | 38 |
| 18 | Baghdad | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 47:68 | 37 |
| 19 | Al Najaf | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 31:68 | 23 |
| 20 | Al-Qassim | 38 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 21:96 | 6 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
