Sport Picks
Alacranes de Durango vs Colima FC
Mexico
Liga Premier Serie A Estadio Francisco Zarco, Durango 
Match Events
8'
8'
Reyes Olguin J. I.
73'
73'
Galindo A.
85'
85'
Cruz F.
AI Match Summary
Colima FC in this Liga Premier Serie A matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Colima FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
33%
27%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Alacranes de Durango
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Colima FC haven't matched Alacranes de Durango's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Alacranes de Durango's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular Liga Premier Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Alacranes de Durango have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 53.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Alacranes de Durango Clean Sheet 68%
Colima FC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alacranes de Durango | Colima FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 20 | 4 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 3 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 2.88 | 1.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.63 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.88 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.63 | 2.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 21, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Colima FC vs Alacranes de Durango
1:4
Oct 4, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Alacranes de Durango vs Colima FC
1:3
Mar 30, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Colima FC vs Alacranes de Durango
0:1
Oct 28, 2023 Liga Premier Serie A
Alacranes de Durango vs Colima FC
4:0
Mar 5, 2022 Liga Premier Serie A
Alacranes de Durango vs Colima FC
6:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Alacranes de Durango Compare
Top Goalscorer Reyes Olguin J. I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44
Colima FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Galindo A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Cruz F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.72
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alacranes de Durango 50 / 100
Colima FC 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alacranes de Durango Colima FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ALA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Alacranes de Durango scored in 86% of their last 29 games.
Colima FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.
Alacranes de Durango went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Alacranes de Durango VS Colima FC
2.88 Goals Scored 1.29
0.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 86%
88% Over 2.5 57%
50% Over 3.5 57%
Recent Form & Match History
Alacranes de Durango
(Home) 10 May
Alacranes de Durango
0 : 0 Deportiva Venados
06 May
Deportiva Venados
2 : 1 Alacranes de Durango
03 May
Alacranes de Durango
2 : 1 Halcones de Zapopan
29 Apr
Halcones de Zapopan
0 : 0 Alacranes de Durango
26 Apr
Alacranes de Durango
1 : 1 Zacatepec
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Alacranes de Durango
0 : 0 Deportiva Venados
03 May
Alacranes de Durango
2 : 1 Halcones de Zapopan
26 Apr
Alacranes de Durango
1 : 1 Zacatepec
11 Apr
Alacranes de Durango
2 : 1 Mineros de Fresnillo
04 Apr
Alacranes de Durango
3 : 1 Reboceros de La Piedad
Page 1 of 3
Colima FC
(Away) 11 Apr
Colima FC
1 : 4 Tecos
05 Apr
Zapotlanejo
1 : 3 Colima FC
29 Mar
Guerreros de Autlan
2 : 0 Colima FC
21 Mar
Colima FC
0 : 0 Mineros de Fresnillo
14 Mar
Cimarrones de Sonora
2 : 0 Colima FC
Page 1 of 6
05 Apr
Zapotlanejo
1 : 3 Colima FC
29 Mar
Guerreros de Autlan
2 : 0 Colima FC
14 Mar
Cimarrones de Sonora
2 : 0 Colima FC
15 Feb
Reboceros de La Piedad
3 : 2 Colima FC
25 Jan
Los Cabos United
1 : 1 Colima FC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alacranes de Durango | 26 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 71:16 | 74 |
| 2 | Tigres de Alica | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 46:25 | 56 |
| 3 | Cimarrones de Sonora | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 46:19 | 54 |
| 4 | Leones Negros 2 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 42:26 | 53 |
| 5 | Tecos | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 49:34 | 49 |
| 6 | Tritones Vallarta | 26 | 15 | 1 | 10 | 32:27 | 46 |
| 7 | Mineros de Fresnillo | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 40:41 | 39 |
| 8 | Los Cabos United | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 37:40 | 37 |
| 9 | Guerreros de Autlan | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 38:42 | 32 |
| 10 | UA Zacatecas | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 32:49 | 29 |
| 11 | Ensenada FC | 26 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 30:55 | 28 |
| 12 | Reboceros de La Piedad | 26 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 39:66 | 23 |
| 13 | Zapotlanejo | 26 | 6 | 1 | 19 | 39:73 | 21 |
| 14 | Colima FC | 26 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 24:52 | 17 |
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Apodaca | 26 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 47:19 | 66 |
| 2 | FC Santiago | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 43:21 | 51 |
| 3 | Zacatepec | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 29:15 | 45 |
| 4 | Halcones de Zapopan | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 44:27 | 44 |
| 5 | Calor De San Pedro | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 37:26 | 44 |
| 6 | Gavilanes de Matamoros | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 31:22 | 44 |
| 7 | Lobos ULMX | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 33:28 | 40 |
| 8 | Correcaminos 2 | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 27:25 | 36 |
| 9 | Chilpancingo | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 33:41 | 35 |
| 10 | Cordobes FC | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 29:30 | 30 |
| 11 | Zitacuaro | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 22:31 | 28 |
| 12 | CS Canamy | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 33:53 | 26 |
| 13 | Ciervos | 26 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 20:50 | 18 |
| 14 | Atletico Hidalgo | 26 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 22:62 | 16 |
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing de Veracruz | 24 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 55:9 | 71 |
| 2 | Deportiva Venados | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 61:25 | 52 |
| 3 | Tapachula | 24 | 13 | 0 | 11 | 51:35 | 44 |
| 4 | Celaya | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 42:32 | 43 |
| 5 | Inter Playa Del Carmen | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 35:28 | 42 |
| 6 | Montaneses | 24 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 35:28 | 38 |
| 7 | Pioneros | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 35:35 | 35 |
| 8 | Jaguares De Chiapas | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 33:32 | 34 |
| 9 | Heroes de Zaci | 24 | 10 | 2 | 12 | 33:46 | 34 |
| 10 | Chapulineros | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 21:33 | 23 |
| 11 | Canoneros FC | 24 | 7 | 1 | 16 | 25:49 | 22 |
| 12 | Neza FC | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 25:73 | 19 |
| 13 | Dragones Toluca | 24 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 21:47 | 17 |
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)