Sport Picks
Alacranes de Durango vs Saltillo
Mexico
Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 Estadio Francisco Zarco, Durango 
Match Events
5'
5'
Coronado B.
54'
54'
Montelongo M.
58'
58'
Games E.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
20%
42%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Saltillo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
38%
/ Low Confidence
- Alacranes de Durango have won more games recently than Saltillo.
- Alacranes de Durango are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Alacranes de Durango Clean Sheet 68%
Saltillo Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alacranes de Durango | Saltillo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 40 | 31 |
| Wins | 23 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.7 | 1.06 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.46 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 3, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Alacranes de Durango vs Saltillo
2:2
Sep 2, 2023 Liga Premier Serie A
Saltillo vs Alacranes de Durango
1:1
Jan 22, 2022 Liga Premier Serie A
Alacranes de Durango vs Saltillo
3:1
Dec 5, 2021 Liga Premier Serie A
Alacranes de Durango vs Saltillo
1:0
Dec 1, 2021 Liga Premier Serie A
Saltillo vs Alacranes de Durango
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Alacranes de Durango Compare
Top Goalscorer Montelongo M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Reyes Olguin J. I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Saltillo Compare
Top Goalscorer Coronado B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Games E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.81
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alacranes de Durango 68 / 100
Saltillo 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alacranes de Durango Saltillo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Alacranes de Durango Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Alacranes de Durango's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 40 recent games.
Saltillo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 31 matches.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Alacranes de Durango has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Alacranes de Durango VS Saltillo
0.75 Goals Scored 1.67
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 83%
50% Over 2.5 67%
0% Over 3.5 67%
Recent Form & Match History
Alacranes de Durango
(Home) 27 Sept
Dorados de Sinaloa
0 : 1 Alacranes de Durango
18 Sept
Alacranes de Durango
2 : 0 Cruz Azul Hidalgo
11 Sept
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 0 Alacranes de Durango
05 Sept
Alacranes de Durango
1 : 1 Tlaxcala
29 Aug
Correcaminos
0 : 0 Alacranes de Durango
Page 1 of 8
18 Sept
Alacranes de Durango
2 : 0 Cruz Azul Hidalgo
05 Sept
Alacranes de Durango
1 : 1 Tlaxcala
23 Aug
Alacranes de Durango
1 : 2 Leones Negros
08 Aug
Alacranes de Durango
0 : 3 Piratas
10 May
Alacranes de Durango
0 : 0 Deportiva Venados
Page 1 of 5
Saltillo
(Away) 26 Sept
Saltillo
3 : 2 Heroes de Zaci
19 Sept
FC Santiago
4 : 1 Saltillo
12 Sept
Saltillo
2 : 0 Correcaminos 2
06 Sept
Apodaca
2 : 3 Saltillo
29 Aug
Saltillo
1 : 4 La Tribu de Cd. Juarez
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
FC Santiago
4 : 1 Saltillo
06 Sept
Apodaca
2 : 3 Saltillo
27 Apr
Leones Negros 2
4 : 1 Saltillo
13 Apr
Colima FC
0 : 1 Saltillo
29 Mar
Correcaminos 2
0 : 0 Saltillo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Los Cabos United | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 55:27 | 71 |
| 2 | Alacranes de Durango | 32 | 18 | 10 | 4 | 53:22 | 67 |
| 3 | Gavilanes de Matamoros | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 46:33 | 57 |
| 4 | Correcaminos 2 | 32 | 17 | 2 | 13 | 48:47 | 57 |
| 5 | Tecos | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 54:36 | 53 |
| 6 | Leones Negros 2 | 32 | 15 | 2 | 15 | 47:45 | 52 |
| 7 | Cimarrones de Sonora 2 | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 32:31 | 48 |
| 8 | UA Zacatecas | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 46:38 | 47 |
| 9 | CF Orgullo Reynosa | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 31:29 | 47 |
| 10 | Tritones Vallarta | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 33:27 | 46 |
| 11 | Saltillo | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 30:31 | 46 |
| 12 | Apodaca | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 42:41 | 45 |
| 13 | Mineros de Fresnillo | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 38:41 | 40 |
| 14 | Calor De San Pedro | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 31:50 | 37 |
| 15 | Dragones Toluca | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 22:56 | 29 |
| 16 | Colima FC | 32 | 7 | 3 | 22 | 31:62 | 25 |
| 17 | Coras FC | 32 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 25:48 | 21 |
| 18 | Chihuahua F.C. | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing de Veracruz | 32 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 46:18 | 77 |
| 2 | Jaiba Brava | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 59:29 | 67 |
| 3 | Deportiva Venados | 32 | 18 | 5 | 9 | 52:38 | 62 |
| 4 | Irapuato | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 55:24 | 57 |
| 5 | Aguacateros de Periban | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 56:37 | 57 |
| 6 | Petroleros Salamanca | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 34:22 | 56 |
| 7 | Inter Playa Del Carmen | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 39:29 | 56 |
| 8 | Montaneses | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 47:42 | 56 |
| 9 | Escorpiones | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 38:29 | 54 |
| 10 | Reboceros de La Piedad | 32 | 13 | 4 | 15 | 39:35 | 47 |
| 11 | Cafetaleros de Chiapas | 32 | 14 | 4 | 14 | 40:38 | 47 |
| 12 | Pioneros | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 32:47 | 37 |
| 13 | Lobos ULMX | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 29:47 | 34 |
| 14 | Halcones de Zapopan | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 29:38 | 32 |
| 15 | CS Canamy | 32 | 9 | 3 | 20 | 40:58 | 29 |
| 16 | San Juan de Aragon | 32 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 30:62 | 25 |
| 17 | Inter de Queretaro | 32 | 3 | 2 | 27 | 18:90 | 10 |
| 18 | Yalmakan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
