Sport Picks
Alacranes de Durango vs Zacatecas Mineros - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX Estadio Francisco Zarco, Durango 
Match Events
3'
3'
Escoboza A.
Assist: Flores S.
16'
16'
Reyes Olguin J. I.
Assist: Flores S.
35'
35'
Angulo J.
AI Match Summary
The Liga de Expansion MX game between Alacranes de Durango and Zacatecas Mineros finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alacranes de Durango.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
53%
15%
32%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alacranes de Durango
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Zacatecas Mineros haven't matched Alacranes de Durango's recent run of results.
- Alacranes de Durango are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Alacranes de Durango have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Alacranes de Durango Clean Sheet 68%
Zacatecas Mineros Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alacranes de Durango | Zacatecas Mineros |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 16 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 6 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 1.68 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.76 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 4, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Alacranes de Durango vs Zacatecas Mineros
4:2
Jan 28, 2023 Liga de Expansion MX
Zacatecas Mineros vs Alacranes de Durango
1:2
Oct 14, 2022 Liga de Expansion MX
Alacranes de Durango vs Zacatecas Mineros
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Alacranes de Durango Compare
Top Goalscorer Escoboza A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Reyes Olguin J. I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Zacatecas Mineros Compare
Top Goalscorer Castro Garcia W. D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sandoval L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alacranes de Durango 86 / 100
Zacatecas Mineros 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alacranes de Durango Zacatecas Mineros
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Alacranes de Durango Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.67 goals as a typical output.
Alacranes de Durango found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).
Zacatecas Mineros has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.
Alacranes de Durango has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Alacranes de Durango VS Zacatecas Mineros
0.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Alacranes de Durango
(Home) 04 Oct
Alacranes de Durango
4 : 2 Zacatecas Mineros
27 Sept
Dorados de Sinaloa
0 : 1 Alacranes de Durango
18 Sept
Alacranes de Durango
2 : 0 Cruz Azul Hidalgo
11 Sept
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 0 Alacranes de Durango
05 Sept
Alacranes de Durango
1 : 1 Tlaxcala
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Alacranes de Durango
4 : 2 Zacatecas Mineros
18 Sept
Alacranes de Durango
2 : 0 Cruz Azul Hidalgo
05 Sept
Alacranes de Durango
1 : 1 Tlaxcala
23 Aug
Alacranes de Durango
1 : 2 Leones Negros
08 Aug
Alacranes de Durango
0 : 3 Piratas
Page 1 of 4
Zacatecas Mineros
(Away) 04 Oct
Alacranes de Durango
4 : 2 Zacatecas Mineros
25 Sept
Zacatecas Mineros
3 : 0 Piratas
19 Sept
Tepatitlan de Morelos
0 : 1 Zacatecas Mineros
13 Sept
Zacatecas Mineros
0 : 1 Club Atletico Morelia
05 Sept
Atletico La Paz
3 : 0 Zacatecas Mineros
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Alacranes de Durango
4 : 2 Zacatecas Mineros
19 Sept
Tepatitlan de Morelos
0 : 1 Zacatecas Mineros
05 Sept
Atletico La Paz
3 : 0 Zacatecas Mineros
24 Aug
Tapatio
4 : 2 Zacatecas Mineros
07 Aug
Dorados de Sinaloa
2 : 2 Zacatecas Mineros
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico La Paz | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 28:15 | 23 |
| 2 | Leones Negros | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 27:16 | 23 |
| 3 | Club Atletico Morelia | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 22:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Venados FC | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 26:21 | 19 |
| 5 | Piratas | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16:10 | 18 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 23:19 | 17 |
| 7 | Cancun | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19:15 | 17 |
| 8 | Alacranes de Durango | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11:11 | 17 |
| 9 | Correcaminos | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 20:20 | 16 |
| 10 | Tapatio | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 19:19 | 14 |
| 11 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20:20 | 13 |
| 12 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 10:23 | 13 |
| 13 | Tlaxcala | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19:23 | 12 |
| 14 | Jaiba Brava | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | 11 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11:18 | 8 |
| 16 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9:30 | 7 |
Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Play Offs)
