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Alagoinhas vs Atlantico EC

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Baiano 2 2016 game between Alagoinhas and Atlantico EC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alagoinhas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Alagoinhas
39%
Draws
30%
Atlantico EC
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atlantico EC come out ahead of Alagoinhas on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Alagoinhas Clean Sheet 17%
Atlantico EC Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alagoinhas Atlantico EC
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 4 9
Draws 9 7
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 0.63 0
Goals Conceded 1.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2016 Baiano 2
Atlantico EC vs Alagoinhas
1:1
Jul 16, 2016 Baiano 2
Alagoinhas vs Atlantico EC
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alagoinhas 31 / 100
Atlantico EC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alagoinhas Atlantico EC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atlantico EC let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Away concern: Atlantico EC has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Alagoinhas scored in 45% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alagoinhas VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Teixeira de Freitas1070320:1121
2Atlantico EC1053216:1018
3EC Ypiranga1052320:1417
4Alagoinhas1033411:1412
5Catuense1032512:1911
6Juazeiro1012712:235