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Alagoinhas vs Juazeirense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Baiano Carneiro, Alagoinhas
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Sub
Anderson Santos In: Hernandes
Out: Anderson Santos
46'
Sub
Galeguinho In: Higor Farias
Out: Galeguinho
48' Event
Anderson

AI Match Summary

The Baiano game between Alagoinhas and Juazeirense finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Juazeirense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Alagoinhas
35%
Draws
46%
Juazeirense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Juazeirense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Juazeirense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Juazeirense are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Alagoinhas Clean Sheet 17%
Juazeirense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alagoinhas Juazeirense
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 3 9
Draws 8 9
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 0.55 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Serie D
Juazeirense vs Alagoinhas
0:0
Apr 12, 2026 Serie D
Alagoinhas vs Juazeirense
1:2
Feb 3, 2026 Baiano
Alagoinhas vs Juazeirense
1:2
Feb 9, 2025 Baiano
Juazeirense vs Alagoinhas
0:1
Feb 7, 2024 Baiano
Alagoinhas vs Juazeirense
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alagoinhas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Juazeirense Compare

Top Goalscorer Anderson
1 Goals
Assists Leader Breno Rayck
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alagoinhas 23 / 100
Juazeirense 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alagoinhas Juazeirense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juazeirense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juazeirense let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Alagoinhas found the back of the net in 41% of recent matches (29 games).

Alagoinhas has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alagoinhas VS Juazeirense
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Alagoinhas

(Home)
14 Jun
Alagoinhas
1 : 7
CSA
31 May
Juazeirense
0 : 0
Alagoinhas
24 May
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
0 : 0
Alagoinhas
17 May
Alagoinhas
0 : 1
Jacuipense
10 May
ASA
3 : 0
Alagoinhas
Page 1 of 6

Juazeirense

(Away)
28 Jun
Juazeirense
0 : 1
Serra Branca
21 Jun
Serra Branca
2 : 0
Juazeirense
14 Jun
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
0 : 1
Juazeirense
31 May
Juazeirense
0 : 0
Alagoinhas
24 May
Jacuipense
2 : 2
Juazeirense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bahia 9 7 2 0 26:9 23
2 Vitoria 9 4 4 1 13:4 16
3 Jacuipense 9 3 4 2 11:10 13
4 Juazeirense 9 3 4 2 7:9 13
5 Jequie 9 3 3 3 15:13 12
6 Porto-BA 9 2 5 2 10:12 11
7 Barcelona FC 9 2 4 3 7:15 10
8 Galicia 9 3 0 6 7:14 9
9 Bahia de Feira 9 2 3 4 11:12 9
10 Alagoinhas 9 0 3 6 5:14 3
Promotion - Baiano (Play Offs)
Relegation - Baiano 2 2027 (Main)