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Alagoinhas vs Porto-BA

Brazil Brazil

Baiano Carneiro, Alagoinhas
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Everton Dias
13'
Willian Kaefer
27'
Miller

AI Match Summary

The Baiano game between Alagoinhas and Porto-BA finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Alagoinhas
30%
Draws
34%
Porto-BA
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alagoinhas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Porto-BA come out ahead of Alagoinhas on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Alagoinhas taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Alagoinhas Clean Sheet 20%
Porto-BA Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alagoinhas Porto-BA
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 10
Draws 8 8
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 0.5 1
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Baiano
Alagoinhas vs Porto-BA
0:0
Jan 21, 2025 Baiano
Porto-BA vs Alagoinhas
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alagoinhas 36 / 100
Porto-BA 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alagoinhas Porto-BA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Porto-BA conceded in 87% of 31 recent games.

Porto-BA's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Alagoinhas scored in 43% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Alagoinhas VS Porto-BA
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alagoinhas

(Home)
14 Jun
Alagoinhas
1 : 7
CSA
31 May
Juazeirense
0 : 0
Alagoinhas
24 May
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
0 : 0
Alagoinhas
17 May
Alagoinhas
0 : 1
Jacuipense
10 May
ASA
3 : 0
Alagoinhas
Page 1 of 6

Porto-BA

(Away)
14 Jun
Rio Branco ES
4 : 0
Porto-BA
30 May
Porto-BA
1 : 3
Tombense
25 May
Democrata GV
3 : 1
Porto-BA
16 May
Porto-BA
0 : 0
Vitoria ES
09 May
Porto-BA
1 : 2
Real Noroeste
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bahia972026:923
2Vitoria944113:416
3Jacuipense934211:1013
4Juazeirense93427:913
5Jequie933315:1312
6Porto-BA925210:1211
7Barcelona FC92437:1510
8Galicia93067:149
9Bahia de Feira923411:129
10Alagoinhas90365:143
Promotion - Baiano (Play Offs)
Relegation - Baiano 2 2027 (Main)