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Alaior vs CD Ferrerias

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011
Alaior Logo

Alaior

0 - 1
FT
CD Ferrerias Logo

CD Ferrerias

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011 game between Alaior and CD Ferrerias finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Ferrerias.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Alaior
30%
Draws
23%
CD Ferrerias
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alaior

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alaior come out ahead of CD Ferrerias on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Alaior's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Alaior Clean Sheet 12%
CD Ferrerias Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alaior CD Ferrerias
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 6 3
Draws 7 5
Losses 18 22
Goals Scored 0.77 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.52 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
CD Ferrerias vs Alaior
0:0
Sep 18, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alaior vs CD Ferrerias
0:1
Feb 20, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alaior vs CD Ferrerias
0:1
Oct 10, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
CD Ferrerias vs Alaior
0:0
Mar 7, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
CD Ferrerias vs Alaior
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alaior 83 / 100
CD Ferrerias 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alaior CD Ferrerias

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alaior Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Ferrerias let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

CD Ferrerias lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Alaior's goal record stands at 45% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Alaior VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alaior

(Home)
12 May
Alaior
1 : 1
Portmany
04 May
Mallorca B
2 : 1
Alaior
01 May
Alaior
0 : 3
UD Poblense
27 Apr
Constancia
1 : 0
Alaior
21 Apr
Alaior
0 : 0
Collerense
Page 1 of 7

CD Ferrerias

(Away)
13 May
Espana
3 : 1
CD Ferrerias
06 May
CD Ferrerias
0 : 1
Mercadal
01 May
Platges de Calvia
3 : 1
CD Ferrerias
28 Apr
CD Ferrerias
2 : 2
Atletico Isleno
21 Apr
Santanyi
6 : 0
CD Ferrerias
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manacor 38 23 10 5 51:23 79
2 UD Poblense 38 24 6 8 71:44 78
3 Constancia 38 23 9 6 62:25 78
4 Binissalem 38 22 10 6 63:30 76
5 Llosetense 38 23 6 9 70:44 75
6 Pena Deportiva 38 19 12 7 53:25 69
7 Santanyi 38 18 9 11 53:43 63
8 El Espinar Sant Rafel 38 12 18 8 47:36 54
9 Mercadal 38 14 10 14 55:45 52
10 Collerense 38 12 11 15 40:49 47
11 CD Montuiri 38 13 7 18 46:58 46
12 Ferriolense 38 12 8 18 48:55 44
13 Campos 38 10 14 14 43:52 44
14 Alcudia 38 11 10 17 43:61 43
15 Felanitx 38 11 9 18 36:56 42
16 CD Ferrerias 38 10 11 17 41:51 41
17 Alaior 38 10 8 20 35:61 38
18 Penya Arrabal 38 8 3 27 45:78 27
19 Norteno CF 38 7 6 25 24:56 27
20 Arenal 38 6 7 25 32:66 25
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)