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Alaior vs Espana

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Tercera Division - Group 11 2011/2012
Alaior Logo

Alaior

1 - 2
FT
Espana Logo

Espana

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 11 2011/2012 game between Alaior and Espana finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Espana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Alaior
20%
Draws
48%
Espana
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Espana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Espana come out ahead of Alaior on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 11 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Alaior Clean Sheet 12%
Espana Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alaior Espana
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 8
Draws 6 9
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 0.8 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alaior vs Espana
1:2
Oct 16, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Espana vs Alaior
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alaior 30 / 100
Espana 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alaior Espana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Espana has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Away concern: Espana has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Alaior scored in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alaior VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alaior

(Home)
12 May
Alaior
1 : 1
Portmany
04 May
Mallorca B
2 : 1
Alaior
01 May
Alaior
0 : 3
UD Poblense
27 Apr
Constancia
1 : 0
Alaior
21 Apr
Alaior
0 : 0
Collerense
Page 1 of 6

Espana

(Away)
19 May
Ferriolense
3 : 2
Espana
12 May
Espana
6 : 1
Son Ferrer
05 May
Formentera
6 : 1
Espana
27 Apr
Espana
0 : 1
Manacor
20 Apr
Felanitx
1 : 0
Espana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Constancia 38 24 13 1 68:21 85
2 Binissalem 38 24 8 6 59:26 80
3 Llosetense 38 23 7 8 81:50 76
4 CD Montuiri 38 22 9 7 66:28 75
5 El Espinar Sant Rafel 38 20 12 6 56:23 72
6 Pena Deportiva 38 20 7 11 61:35 67
7 Santanyi 38 19 10 9 65:40 67
8 Campos 38 14 14 10 38:31 56
9 UD Poblense 38 14 13 11 49:39 55
10 Mercadal 38 14 10 14 42:47 52
11 Collerense 38 11 12 15 46:58 45
12 Felanitx 38 11 9 18 36:58 42
13 Son Ferrer 38 10 12 16 28:50 42
14 Alcudia 38 10 9 19 42:54 39
15 Espana 38 11 6 21 44:66 39
16 Atletico Isleno 38 9 11 18 46:60 38
17 Ferriolense 38 10 6 22 44:60 36
18 Platges de Calvia 38 9 7 22 41:65 34
19 CD Ferrerias 38 5 8 25 27:87 23
20 Alaior 38 4 9 25 35:76 21
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)