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Alaior vs Penya Arrabal

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011
Alaior Logo

Alaior

1 - 0
FT
Penya Arrabal Logo

Penya Arrabal

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011 game between Alaior and Penya Arrabal finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alaior.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Alaior
20%
Draws
48%
Penya Arrabal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Penya Arrabal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Alaior carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Alaior a 32% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Alaior Clean Sheet 12%
Penya Arrabal Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alaior Penya Arrabal
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 7 1
Losses 19 23
Goals Scored 0.76 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.52 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alaior vs Penya Arrabal
1:0
Nov 14, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Penya Arrabal vs Alaior
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alaior 47 / 100
Penya Arrabal 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alaior Penya Arrabal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alaior Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Penya Arrabal has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Penya Arrabal lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Alaior's goal record stands at 45% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Alaior VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alaior

(Home)
12 May
Alaior
1 : 1
Portmany
04 May
Mallorca B
2 : 1
Alaior
01 May
Alaior
0 : 3
UD Poblense
27 Apr
Constancia
1 : 0
Alaior
21 Apr
Alaior
0 : 0
Collerense
Page 1 of 7

Penya Arrabal

(Away)
14 May
Collerense
4 : 1
Penya Arrabal
07 May
Penya Arrabal
3 : 1
Felanitx
01 May
CD Montuiri
4 : 2
Penya Arrabal
19 Apr
Penya Arrabal
1 : 4
UD Poblense
17 Apr
Constancia
2 : 0
Penya Arrabal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manacor 38 23 10 5 51:23 79
2 UD Poblense 38 24 6 8 71:44 78
3 Constancia 38 23 9 6 62:25 78
4 Binissalem 38 22 10 6 63:30 76
5 Llosetense 38 23 6 9 70:44 75
6 Pena Deportiva 38 19 12 7 53:25 69
7 Santanyi 38 18 9 11 53:43 63
8 El Espinar Sant Rafel 38 12 18 8 47:36 54
9 Mercadal 38 14 10 14 55:45 52
10 Collerense 38 12 11 15 40:49 47
11 CD Montuiri 38 13 7 18 46:58 46
12 Ferriolense 38 12 8 18 48:55 44
13 Campos 38 10 14 14 43:52 44
14 Alcudia 38 11 10 17 43:61 43
15 Felanitx 38 11 9 18 36:56 42
16 CD Ferrerias 38 10 11 17 41:51 41
17 Alaior 38 10 8 20 35:61 38
18 Penya Arrabal 38 8 3 27 45:78 27
19 Norteno CF 38 7 6 25 24:56 27
20 Arenal 38 6 7 25 32:66 25
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)