Sport Picks
Alajuelense vs Cartagines - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Costa Rica
Primera Division Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto, Alajuela 
AI Match Summary
Alajuelense host Cartagines in the Primera Division. Little to choose between these two on current form. Alajuelense have averaged 1.68 scored and 1.11 conceded recently, against Cartagines's 1.76 scored and 1.14 conceded. Head-to-head, Alajuelense have won 2 to Cartagines's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 14, 2026, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.44) point toward Cartagines. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Alajuelense haven't matched Cartagines's recent run of results.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Alajuelense taking it.
- Regular Primera Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alajuelense | Cartagines |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 16 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 8 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.68 | 1.76 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.11 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Alajuelense's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Alajuelense went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Cartagines conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Alajuelense
(Home)Cartagines
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saprissa | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 26:12 | 24 |
| 2 | Cartagines | 13 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 24:17 | 24 |
| 3 | Sporting FC | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 26:20 | 24 |
| 4 | Alajuelense | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20:14 | 19 |
| 5 | San Carlos | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 13:14 | 19 |
| 6 | Puntarenas FC | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15:19 | 18 |
| 7 | Inter San Carlos | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15:20 | 18 |
| 8 | Herediano | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15:17 | 14 |
| 9 | Escorpiones | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 14:22 | 10 |
| 10 | Zeledon | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9:22 | 9 |
