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Alajuelense vs Puntarenas FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto, Alajuela
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Anor J.
15'
Sinclair A.
28' Event
Rodriguez D.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division game between Alajuelense and Puntarenas FC finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alajuelense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Alajuelense
35%
Draws
32%
Puntarenas FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Alajuelense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Alajuelense's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Primera Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Alajuelense Clean Sheet 20%
Puntarenas FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alajuelense Puntarenas FC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 7 7
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.66 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Primera Division
Puntarenas FC vs Alajuelense
1:1
Aug 15, 2026 Primera Division
Alajuelense vs Puntarenas FC
2:1
Apr 24, 2026 Primera Division
Alajuelense vs Puntarenas FC
5:2
Mar 1, 2026 Primera Division
Puntarenas FC vs Alajuelense
2:0
Sep 27, 2025 Primera Division
Alajuelense vs Puntarenas FC
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alajuelense Compare

Top Goalscorer Gamboa A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Michel K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Puntarenas FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alajuelense 67 / 100
Puntarenas FC 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alajuelense Puntarenas FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alajuelense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Alajuelense scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Puntarenas FC has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Alajuelense remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Alajuelense VS Puntarenas FC
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Alajuelense

(Home)
10 Oct
Puntarenas FC
1 : 1
Alajuelense
20 Sept
Alajuelense
5 : 0
Inter San Carlos
18 Sept
Alajuelense
3 : 1
Marathon
14 Sept
Cartagines
3 : 1
Alajuelense
11 Sept
Marathon
2 : 2
Alajuelense
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Puntarenas FC

(Away)
10 Oct
Puntarenas FC
1 : 1
Alajuelense
19 Sept
Puntarenas FC
1 : 0
Escorpiones
12 Sept
Inter San Carlos
1 : 1
Puntarenas FC
06 Sept
Puntarenas FC
1 : 3
Cartagines
30 Aug
San Carlos
1 : 2
Puntarenas FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saprissa 9 7 0 2 20:10 21
2 Sporting FC 10 6 2 2 19:9 20
3 Cartagines 10 6 0 4 19:13 18
4 San Carlos 10 6 0 4 9:9 18
5 Alajuelense 10 4 3 3 16:11 15
6 Inter San Carlos 10 4 3 3 10:13 15
7 Puntarenas FC 10 3 3 4 9:14 12
8 Zeledon 10 2 3 5 8:15 9
9 Herediano 10 2 1 7 8:15 7
10 Escorpiones 9 1 1 7 6:15 4
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)