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Alajuelense vs Puntarenas FC

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto, Alajuela
Sat, Aug 15, 2026
VS
10:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alajuelense host Puntarenas FC in the Primera Division. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Puntarenas FC have shipped 2.25 goals a game lately, while Alajuelense have conceded 1.38 and scored 1.5. Head-to-head, Alajuelense have won 2 to Puntarenas FC's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 24, 2026, ending 5:2. xG projections (1.88 - 1.25) back Alajuelense to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Alajuelense
6%
Draws
4%
Puntarenas FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Alajuelense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Alajuelense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Alajuelense's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Primera Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Alajuelense Clean Sheet 19%
Puntarenas FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alajuelense Puntarenas FC
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 12 7
Draws 9 10
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Primera Division
Alajuelense vs Puntarenas FC
5:2
Mar 1, 2026 Primera Division
Puntarenas FC vs Alajuelense
2:0
Sep 27, 2025 Primera Division
Alajuelense vs Puntarenas FC
2:2
Aug 17, 2025 Primera Division
Puntarenas FC vs Alajuelense
0:0
May 15, 2025 Primera Division
Alajuelense vs Puntarenas FC
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alajuelense 85 / 100
Puntarenas FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alajuelense Puntarenas FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LDA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Alajuelense scored in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Puntarenas FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Alajuelense remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Alajuelense VS Puntarenas FC
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Alajuelense

(Home)
26 Jul
Sporting FC
1 : 1
Alajuelense
12 Jul
Alajuelense
0 : 1
Herediano
26 Apr
Liberia
2 : 1
Alajuelense
24 Apr
Alajuelense
5 : 2
Puntarenas FC
19 Apr
Alajuelense
1 : 1
Saprissa
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Puntarenas FC

(Away)
24 Jul
Herediano
1 : 1
Puntarenas FC
26 Apr
Puntarenas FC
1 : 3
Saprissa
24 Apr
Alajuelense
5 : 2
Puntarenas FC
19 Apr
Puntarenas FC
1 : 2
Sporting FC
12 Apr
Zeledon
3 : 3
Puntarenas FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Saprissa11005:13
2Escorpiones11003:03
3Cartagines11003:13
4Alajuelense10101:11
5Herediano10101:11
6Puntarenas FC10101:11
7Sporting FC10101:11
8Inter San Carlos10011:30
9San Carlos10010:30
10Zeledon10011:50
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)