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Alajuelense vs Sporting FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto, Alajuela
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alajuelense host Sporting FC in the Primera Division. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Sporting FC have shipped 1.47 goals a game lately, while Alajuelense have conceded 1.06 and scored 1.61. Head-to-head, Alajuelense have won 3 to Sporting FC's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 26, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 2.00 vs 1.75, favoring Alajuelense. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Alajuelense
35%
Draws
34%
Sporting FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Sporting FC haven't matched Alajuelense's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Alajuelense's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Primera Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Alajuelense Clean Sheet 12%
Sporting FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alajuelense Sporting FC
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 12
Draws 8 7
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.61 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Primera Division
Sporting FC vs Alajuelense
1:1
Apr 12, 2026 Primera Division
Sporting FC vs Alajuelense
0:2
Feb 16, 2026 Primera Division
Alajuelense vs Sporting FC
1:2
Nov 23, 2025 Primera Division
Alajuelense vs Sporting FC
2:0
Jul 28, 2025 Primera Division
Sporting FC vs Alajuelense
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alajuelense 38 / 100
Sporting FC 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alajuelense Sporting FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alajuelense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alajuelense scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Solid form: Alajuelense remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Sporting FC let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Alajuelense VS Sporting FC
2 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Alajuelense

(Home)
23 Oct
Motagua
0 : 0
Alajuelense
18 Oct
Inter San Carlos
2 : 3
Alajuelense
15 Oct
Alajuelense
1 : 1
Herediano
10 Oct
Puntarenas FC
1 : 1
Alajuelense
20 Sept
Alajuelense
5 : 0
Inter San Carlos
Page 1 of 7

Sporting FC

(Away)
24 Oct
Escorpiones
2 : 4
Sporting FC
20 Oct
Sporting FC
3 : 3
San Carlos
16 Oct
Saprissa
6 : 0
Sporting FC
10 Oct
Sporting FC
3 : 1
Cartagines
19 Sept
Zeledon
1 : 2
Sporting FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saprissa 13 8 0 5 27:14 24
2 Cartagines 13 8 0 5 24:17 24
3 Sporting FC 13 7 3 3 26:20 24
4 San Carlos 13 7 1 5 15:15 22
5 Alajuelense 12 5 4 3 20:14 19
6 Puntarenas FC 13 5 3 5 15:19 18
7 Inter San Carlos 13 5 3 5 15:20 18
8 Herediano 13 4 2 7 15:17 14
9 Escorpiones 13 3 1 9 14:22 10
10 Zeledon 12 2 3 7 9:22 9
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)