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Alajuelense vs Zeledon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto, Alajuela
Mon, Oct 26, 2026
VS
12:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alajuelense host Zeledon in the Primera Division. This one's hard to separate. Zeledon have shipped 1.69 goals a game lately, while Alajuelense have conceded 1.09 and scored 1.56. Head-to-head, Alajuelense have won 2 to Zeledon's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Aug 30, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.44 - 1.19) back Alajuelense to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Alajuelense
30%
Draws
23%
Zeledon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alajuelense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Alajuelense lately — more wins on the board than Zeledon.
  • Win probability leans Alajuelense's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Primera Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Alajuelense Clean Sheet 20%
Zeledon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alajuelense Zeledon
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 13 4
Draws 9 11
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.56 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Primera Division
Zeledon vs Alajuelense
1:1
Mar 14, 2026 Primera Division
Alajuelense vs Zeledon
3:0
Jan 18, 2026 Primera Division
Zeledon vs Alajuelense
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 Primera Division
Alajuelense vs Zeledon
3:2
Sep 7, 2025 Primera Division
Zeledon vs Alajuelense
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alajuelense 85 / 100
Zeledon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alajuelense Zeledon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alajuelense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Alajuelense scored in 84% of their last 32 outings.

Defensive concern: Zeledon conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Alajuelense has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alajuelense VS Zeledon
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alajuelense

(Home)
15 Oct
Alajuelense
1 : 1
Herediano
10 Oct
Puntarenas FC
1 : 1
Alajuelense
20 Sept
Alajuelense
5 : 0
Inter San Carlos
18 Sept
Alajuelense
3 : 1
Marathon
14 Sept
Cartagines
3 : 1
Alajuelense
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Zeledon

(Away)
14 Oct
Zeledon
1 : 4
Escorpiones
10 Oct
Inter San Carlos
1 : 1
Zeledon
19 Sept
Zeledon
1 : 2
Sporting FC
12 Sept
Zeledon
0 : 2
San Carlos
05 Sept
Herediano
2 : 3
Zeledon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saprissa 11 8 0 3 26:11 24
2 Cartagines 11 7 0 4 22:14 21
3 Sporting FC 11 6 2 3 19:15 20
4 Alajuelense 12 5 4 3 20:14 19
5 San Carlos 11 6 0 5 10:11 18
6 Inter San Carlos 12 5 3 4 14:17 18
7 Puntarenas FC 11 3 3 5 10:17 12
8 Escorpiones 11 3 1 7 11:16 10
9 Zeledon 11 2 3 6 9:19 9
10 Herediano 11 2 2 7 9:16 8
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)