Sport Picks

Sudan

Premier League 2025

Al-Merreikh Obeid

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Alamal SC Atbara play Al-Merreikh Obeid in the Premier League 2025. Alamal SC Atbara are favorites here. Recently, Alamal SC Atbara averaged 1.1 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. Al-Merreikh Obeid averaged 1.26 goals scored and 1.74 conceded. In past meetings, Alamal SC Atbara won 1, Al-Merreikh Obeid won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 4, 2025 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Alamal SC Atbara and 1.00 for Al-Merreikh Obeid. This points to a Alamal SC Atbara double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

Alamal SC Atbara

25%

Draws

15%

Al-Merreikh Obeid

Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Alamal SC Atbara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence

Alamal SC Atbara picked up more points recently compared to Al-Merreikh Obeid.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 67%

Over 2.5 Goals 47%

Over 3.5 Goals 28%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%

Alamal SC Atbara Clean Sheet 23%

Al-Merreikh Obeid Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 60%

Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Alamal SC Atbara	Al-Merreikh Obeid
Matches Played	29	27
Wins	10	9
Draws	11	3
Losses	8	15
Goals Scored	1.1	1.26
Goals Conceded	0.93	1.74
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2025 Premier League

Alamal SC Atbara vs Al-Merreikh Obeid

Possession: 47% - 58% Cards: 2 - 0

3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alamal SC Atbara 59 / 100

Al-Merreikh Obeid 16 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Alamal SC Atbara Al-Merreikh Obeid

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alamal SC Atbara Win (1)

Secondary Pick Alamal SC Atbara & Under 3.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +15.2%

1.92

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.7%

2.44

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Alamal SC Atbara attacking → ← attacking Al-Merreikh Obeid

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alamal SC Atbara scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Al-Merreikh Obeid let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Alamal SC Atbara went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Al-Merreikh Obeid lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 30

0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Al-Hilal Omdurman	7	4	2	1	15:4	14
2	Al-Merreikh	7	4	2	1	7:5	14
3	Madani	7	4	2	1	8:2	14
4	Zamala Ruwaba	7	3	2	2	7:5	11
5	Alamal SC Atbara	7	2	2	3	7:7	8
6	Hay Al Wadi	7	1	4	2	5:8	7
7	Al-Mergheni	7	1	3	3	4:9	6
8	Al-Merreikh Obeid	7	0	1	6	2:15	1