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Alamal SC Atbara vs Al Mourada

Sudan Sudan

Premier League 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alamal SC Atbara play Al Mourada in the Premier League 2018/2019. It looks like a close match. Recently, Alamal SC Atbara averaged 1.13 goals scored and 0.94 conceded. Al Mourada averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Alamal SC Atbara won 2, Al Mourada won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 23, 2019 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Alamal SC Atbara and 1.00 for Al Mourada. This points to a Alamal SC Atbara double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Alamal SC Atbara
35%
Draws
26%
Al Mourada
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Alamal SC Atbara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Alamal SC Atbara picked up more points recently compared to Al Mourada.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Alamal SC Atbara Clean Sheet 23%
Al Mourada Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alamal SC Atbara Al Mourada
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 11 9
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.13 0.8
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 23, 2019 Premier League
Alamal SC Atbara vs Al Mourada
2:0
Jan 24, 2019 Premier League
Al Mourada vs Alamal SC Atbara
0:2
Dec 6, 2018 Premier League
Al Mourada vs Alamal SC Atbara
2:0
Aug 27, 2013 Premier League
Alamal SC Atbara vs Al Mourada
0:0
Feb 26, 2013 Premier League
Al Mourada vs Alamal SC Atbara
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alamal SC Atbara 40 / 100
Al Mourada 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alamal SC Atbara Al Mourada

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Alamal SC Atbara or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +23.2%
3.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Alamal SC Atbara attacking → ← attacking Al Mourada

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alamal SC Atbara scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Al Mourada let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Alamal SC Atbara went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Al Mourada lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 27
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ahli Khartoum73317:512
2Hay al-Arab73229:911
3Al Hilal Kadougli72419:710
4Alamal SC Atbara73139:810
5Rabita Kosti72325:59
6Al-Ahly Merowe71516:68
7Al Mourada71333:66
8Wad Hashim Sennar71335:76