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Alamal SC Atbara vs Wad Nobawi

Sudan Sudan

Premier League 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2022/2023 game between Alamal SC Atbara and Wad Nobawi finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Alamal SC Atbara
35%
Draws
39%
Wad Nobawi
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Wad Nobawi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alamal SC Atbara come out ahead of Wad Nobawi on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Alamal SC Atbara Clean Sheet 20%
Wad Nobawi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alamal SC Atbara Wad Nobawi
Matches Played 33 24
Wins 11 5
Draws 12 14
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.09 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.91 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2023 Premier League
Alamal SC Atbara vs Wad Nobawi
1:1
Oct 29, 2022 Premier League
Wad Nobawi vs Alamal SC Atbara
1:2
Jul 8, 2022 Premier League
Wad Nobawi vs Alamal SC Atbara
0:2
Mar 11, 2022 Premier League
Alamal SC Atbara vs Wad Nobawi
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alamal SC Atbara 32 / 100
Wad Nobawi 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alamal SC Atbara Wad Nobawi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alamal SC Atbara scored in 70% of their last 33 games.

Wad Nobawi let in goals in 63% of their last 24 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Alamal SC Atbara went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alamal SC Atbara VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alamal SC Atbara

(Home)
13 Feb
Al-Merreikh II
1 : 1
Alamal SC Atbara
09 Feb
Al Hilal Karima
1 : 0
Alamal SC Atbara
03 Feb
Al-Ahly Merowe
1 : 1
Alamal SC Atbara
31 Jan
Al Saham Ad Damer
1 : 1
Alamal SC Atbara
26 Jan
Alfalah Atbra
0 : 0
Alamal SC Atbara
Page 1 of 7

Wad Nobawi

(Away)
11 Apr
Wad Nobawi
1 : 1
Rabita Kosti
06 Apr
Wad Nobawi
0 : 0
Hilal El-Fasher
03 Apr
Hay Al Wadi
1 : 0
Wad Nobawi
26 Mar
Haidob Al Nuhod
1 : 1
Wad Nobawi
21 Mar
Alfalah Atbra
0 : 1
Wad Nobawi
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Hilal Omdurman 20 17 2 1 55:12 53
2 Al-Merreikh 19 15 3 1 33:8 48
3 Hay al-Arab 26 14 6 6 39:26 48
4 Haidob Al Nuhod 28 13 6 9 32:26 45
5 Ahli Khartoum 28 10 9 9 35:29 39
6 Hilal El-Fasher 29 10 8 11 31:31 38
7 Hay Al Wadi 24 10 8 6 29:27 38
8 Alamal SC Atbara 26 10 5 11 24:28 35
9 Al Shorta 27 10 5 12 28:34 35
10 Kober 29 9 8 12 32:37 35
11 Hilal Alsahil 26 8 10 8 25:28 34
12 Wad Nobawi 27 6 14 7 20:24 32
13 Alfalah Atbra 25 6 11 8 21:19 29
14 Ahli Shendi 26 7 7 12 14:26 28
15 Tuti 27 7 6 14 26:38 27
16 Al-Ahly Merowe 27 4 13 10 19:36 25
17 Al Zoma 28 4 10 14 22:40 22
18 Rabita Kosti 26 5 7 14 16:32 22
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2023/2024 (Qualification)