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Aland United W vs HJK W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women Wiklöf Holding Arena, Mariehamn
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aland United W host HJK W in the Kansallinen Liiga Women. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. HJK W have shipped 1.14 goals a game lately, while Aland United W have conceded 1.66 and scored 2.28. Past meetings favor HJK W slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 29, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 2.13, favoring HJK W. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Aland United W
15%
Draws
42%
HJK W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aland United W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and HJK W come out ahead of Aland United W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Aland United W's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • HJK W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Aland United W Clean Sheet 10%
HJK W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aland United W HJK W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 22
Draws 1 1
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 2.28 2.62
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HJK W vs Aland United W
2:1
Jun 12, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Aland United W vs HJK W
2:3
Apr 2, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HJK W vs Aland United W
3:2
Oct 3, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Aland United W vs HJK W
2:2
Sep 21, 2025 Suomen Cup Women
HJK W vs Aland United W
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aland United W 40 / 100
HJK W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aland United W HJK W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Aland United W found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

HJK W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Difficult form: HJK W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aland United W VS HJK W
1.88 Goals Scored 2.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Aland United W

(Home)
03 Oct
Aland United W
3 : 1
Gnistan W
26 Sept
HPS W
1 : 0
Aland United W
19 Sept
Ilves W
2 : 3
Aland United W
13 Sept
Aland United W
0 : 2
KuPS W
29 Aug
HJK W
2 : 1
Aland United W
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HJK W

(Away)
04 Oct
HJK W
2 : 3
HPS W
30 Sept
Brann W
4 : 0
HJK W
26 Sept
KuPS W
0 : 1
HJK W
23 Sept
HJK W
0 : 2
Brann W
19 Sept
HJK W
6 : 1
Gnistan W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HJK W 22 18 1 3 62:21 55
2 Aland United W 22 14 1 7 56:30 43
3 KuPS W 22 13 3 6 43:29 42
4 HPS W 22 12 5 5 34:25 41
5 Ilves W 22 8 2 12 39:45 26
6 Gnistan W 22 5 1 16 29:56 16
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women 2027/2028 (Qualification)