Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aland United W vs HPS W

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women Wiklöf Holding Arena, Mariehamn
Sun, Aug 16, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aland United W host HPS W in the Kansallinen Liiga Women. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Aland United W at 2.38 goals for, 1 against; HPS W at 2.63 for, 0.5 against. Past meetings favor Aland United W slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 28, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.81) point toward HPS W. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Aland United W
6%
Draws
4%
HPS W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Aland United W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • HPS W's 2.63 goals per match outpaces what Aland United W have produced (2.38).
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Aland United W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Aland United W Clean Sheet 11%
HPS W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aland United W HPS W
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 18 18
Draws 2 4
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 2.38 2.63
Goals Conceded 1 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Aland United W vs HPS W
0:0
Apr 25, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HPS W vs Aland United W
1:0
Oct 18, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HPS W vs Aland United W
2:1
Oct 7, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Aland United W vs HPS W
6:2
Jul 2, 2025 Suomen Cup Women
Aland United W vs HPS W
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aland United W 83 / 100
HPS W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aland United W HPS W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Aland United W scored in 88% of their last 33 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

HPS W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 31 matches.

Solid form: Aland United W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aland United W VS HPS W
2.38 Goals Scored 2.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Aland United W

(Home)
25 Jul
Aland United W
6 : 1
VIFK Vaasa W
18 Jul
KuPS W
1 : 3
Aland United W
12 Jul
Aland United W
4 : 1
PK-35 Vantaa W
04 Jul
Ilves W
0 : 2
Aland United W
01 Jul
Aland United W
1 : 2
KuPS W
Page 1 of 7

HPS W

(Away)
25 Jul
HPS W
1 : 2
Ilves W
19 Jul
HJK W
4 : 0
HPS W
12 Jul
HPS W
1 : 1
VIFK Vaasa W
08 Jul
EBK W
0 : 4
HPS W
04 Jul
PK-35 Vantaa W
0 : 1
HPS W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1HJK W14130140:939
2Aland United W1491441:1928
3KuPS W1491431:2128
4HPS W1473419:1524
5Ilves W1471627:2622
6Gnistan W1441921:3213
Promotion - Champions League Women 2027/2028 (Qualification - First stage)
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women 2027/2028 (Qualification)