Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aland United W vs HPS W

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women Wiklöf Holding Arena, Mariehamn
Aland United W Logo

Aland United W

2 - 1
FT
HPS W Logo

HPS W

Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Pitko N.
50'
Punsar M.
62'
Sub
Punsar M. In: Puolakka L.
Out: Punsar M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Kansallinen Liiga Women game between Aland United W and HPS W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aland United W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Aland United W
20%
Draws
38%
HPS W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aland United W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Aland United W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Aland United W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Aland United W Clean Sheet 16%
HPS W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aland United W HPS W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 18 17
Draws 1 6
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 2.47 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Aland United W vs HPS W
2:1
Jun 28, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Aland United W vs HPS W
0:0
Apr 25, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HPS W vs Aland United W
1:0
Oct 18, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HPS W vs Aland United W
2:1
Oct 7, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Aland United W vs HPS W
6:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aland United W Compare

Top Goalscorer Pitko N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jaatinen S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

HPS W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kahre O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aland United W 36 / 100
HPS W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aland United W HPS W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Aland United W scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

HPS W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Aland United W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aland United W VS HPS W
2.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aland United W

(Home)
19 Sept
Ilves W
2 : 3
Aland United W
13 Sept
Aland United W
0 : 2
KuPS W
29 Aug
HJK W
2 : 1
Aland United W
23 Aug
Gnistan W
2 : 3
Aland United W
16 Aug
Aland United W
2 : 1
HPS W
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HPS W

(Away)
19 Sept
KuPS W
0 : 0
HPS W
12 Sept
Gnistan W
1 : 3
HPS W
06 Sept
HPS W
1 : 3
HJK W
29 Aug
HPS W
1 : 0
Ilves W
21 Aug
HPS W
3 : 3
HJK W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HJK W 20 17 1 2 59:18 52
2 KuPS W 20 13 2 5 40:25 41
3 Aland United W 20 13 1 6 53:28 40
4 HPS W 20 10 5 5 30:23 35
5 Ilves W 20 7 1 12 33:42 22
6 Gnistan W 20 5 1 14 28:50 16
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women 2027/2028 (Qualification)