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Aland United W vs Ilves W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women Wiklöf Holding Arena, Mariehamn
Aland United W Logo

Aland United W

3 - 0
FT
Ilves W Logo

Ilves W

Our Tip

Match Events

59'
Sub
Olmala H. In: Heinonen I.
Out: Olmala H.
61' Event
Pitko N.
Assist: Veber V.
61'
Sub
Tarkkanen A. In: Purhonen P.
Out: Tarkkanen A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Aland United W in this Kansallinen Liiga Women matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aland United W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Aland United W
15%
Draws
34%
Ilves W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aland United W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Ilves W haven't matched Aland United W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Aland United W's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Kansallinen Liiga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).
  • History favors Aland United W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Aland United W Clean Sheet 19%
Ilves W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aland United W Ilves W
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 18 14
Draws 1 2
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 2.58 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Ilves W vs Aland United W
2:3
Aug 8, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Aland United W vs Ilves W
3:0
Jul 4, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Ilves W vs Aland United W
0:2
Jun 17, 2026 Suomen Cup Women
Aland United W vs Ilves W
2:1
May 3, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Aland United W vs Ilves W
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aland United W Compare

Top Goalscorer Pitko N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vetter J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Ilves W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aland United W 40 / 100
Ilves W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aland United W Ilves W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aland United W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aland United W's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Ilves W has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Away concern: Ilves W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aland United W VS Ilves W
2.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aland United W

(Home)
03 Oct
Aland United W
3 : 1
Gnistan W
26 Sept
HPS W
1 : 0
Aland United W
19 Sept
Ilves W
2 : 3
Aland United W
13 Sept
Aland United W
0 : 2
KuPS W
29 Aug
HJK W
2 : 1
Aland United W
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Ilves W

(Away)
03 Oct
Ilves W
3 : 3
KuPS W
26 Sept
Gnistan W
0 : 3
Ilves W
19 Sept
Ilves W
2 : 3
Aland United W
12 Sept
Ilves W
2 : 5
HJK W
29 Aug
HPS W
1 : 0
Ilves W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HJK W 22 18 1 3 62:21 55
2 Aland United W 22 14 1 7 56:30 43
3 KuPS W 22 13 3 6 43:29 42
4 HPS W 22 12 5 5 34:25 41
5 Ilves W 22 8 2 12 39:45 26
6 Gnistan W 22 5 1 16 29:56 16
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women 2027/2028 (Qualification)