Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aland United W vs Ilves W

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women Wiklöf Holding Arena, Mariehamn
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Veber V.
Assist: Jaatinen S.
23' Event
Pitko N.
Assist: Hagstrom M.
26' Event
Hagstrom M.

AI Match Summary

The Kansallinen Liiga Women game between Aland United W and Ilves W finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aland United W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Aland United W
15%
Draws
34%
Ilves W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aland United W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Aland United W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Aland United W are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).
  • History favors Aland United W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Aland United W Clean Sheet 17%
Ilves W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aland United W Ilves W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 13
Draws 1 2
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 2.42 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.65 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Ilves W vs Aland United W
2:3
Aug 8, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Aland United W vs Ilves W
3:0
Jul 4, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Ilves W vs Aland United W
0:2
Jun 17, 2026 Suomen Cup Women
Aland United W vs Ilves W
2:1
May 3, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Aland United W vs Ilves W
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aland United W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hagstrom M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Veber V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Ilves W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lilja T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aland United W 48 / 100
Ilves W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aland United W Ilves W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aland United W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aland United W scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Ilves W conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Ilves W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aland United W VS Ilves W
2.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aland United W

(Home)
03 Oct
Aland United W
3 : 1
Gnistan W
26 Sept
HPS W
1 : 0
Aland United W
19 Sept
Ilves W
2 : 3
Aland United W
13 Sept
Aland United W
0 : 2
KuPS W
29 Aug
HJK W
2 : 1
Aland United W
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Ilves W

(Away)
03 Oct
Ilves W
3 : 3
KuPS W
26 Sept
Gnistan W
0 : 3
Ilves W
19 Sept
Ilves W
2 : 3
Aland United W
12 Sept
Ilves W
2 : 5
HJK W
29 Aug
HPS W
1 : 0
Ilves W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HJK W 14 13 0 1 40:9 39
2 Aland United W 14 9 1 4 41:19 28
3 KuPS W 14 9 1 4 31:21 28
4 HPS W 14 7 3 4 19:15 24
5 Ilves W 14 7 1 6 27:26 22
6 Gnistan W 14 4 1 9 21:32 13
7 PK-35 Vantaa W 14 2 1 11 13:36 7
8 VIFK Vaasa W 14 0 2 12 8:42 2
Promotion - Kansallinen Liiga Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - Kansallinen Liiga Women (Relegation Group)