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Aland United W vs KuPS W Prediction & H2H Stats

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women Wiklöf Holding Arena, Mariehamn
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Perkaus H.
46'
Sub
Ukkonen P. In: Oruetxebarria N.
Out: Ukkonen P.
46'
Sub
Juusela N. In: Spenazzatto L.
Out: Juusela N.

AI Match Summary

The Kansallinen Liiga Women game between Aland United W and KuPS W finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward KuPS W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Aland United W
20%
Draws
46%
KuPS W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: KuPS W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aland United W come out ahead of KuPS W on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Kansallinen Liiga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors KuPS W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Aland United W Clean Sheet 16%
KuPS W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aland United W KuPS W
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 19 18
Draws 1 5
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 2.41 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Aland United W vs KuPS W
0:2
Jul 18, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
KuPS W vs Aland United W
1:3
Jul 1, 2026 Suomen Cup Women
Aland United W vs KuPS W
1:2
May 17, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Aland United W vs KuPS W
1:6
Sep 27, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women
KuPS W vs Aland United W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aland United W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

KuPS W Compare

Top Goalscorer Leiwo S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aland United W 36 / 100
KuPS W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aland United W KuPS W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KuPS W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aland United W's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

KuPS W let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

Solid form: Aland United W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aland United W VS KuPS W
2.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aland United W

(Home)
03 Oct
Aland United W
3 : 1
Gnistan W
26 Sept
HPS W
1 : 0
Aland United W
19 Sept
Ilves W
2 : 3
Aland United W
13 Sept
Aland United W
0 : 2
KuPS W
29 Aug
HJK W
2 : 1
Aland United W
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KuPS W

(Away)
03 Oct
Ilves W
3 : 3
KuPS W
26 Sept
KuPS W
0 : 1
HJK W
19 Sept
KuPS W
0 : 0
HPS W
13 Sept
Aland United W
0 : 2
KuPS W
29 Aug
KuPS W
2 : 0
Gnistan W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HJK W 21 18 1 2 60:18 55
2 Aland United W 22 14 1 7 56:30 43
3 KuPS W 22 13 3 6 43:29 42
4 HPS W 21 11 5 5 31:23 38
5 Ilves W 22 8 2 12 39:45 26
6 Gnistan W 22 5 1 16 29:56 16
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women 2027/2028 (Qualification)