Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aland United W vs KuPS W

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women Wiklöf Holding Arena, Mariehamn
Sun, Sep 13, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aland United W host KuPS W in the Kansallinen Liiga Women. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Aland United W have averaged 2.13 scored and 0.88 conceded recently, against KuPS W's 1.88 scored and 1.25 conceded. Head-to-head, Aland United W have won 1 to KuPS W's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 18, 2026, ending 1:3. xG projections (1.69 - 1.38) back KuPS W to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Aland United W
6%
Draws
4%
KuPS W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Aland United W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and KuPS W come out ahead of Aland United W on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Aland United W taking it.
  • Regular Kansallinen Liiga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors KuPS W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Aland United W Clean Sheet 17%
KuPS W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aland United W KuPS W
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 18 19
Draws 2 3
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 2.13 1.88
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
KuPS W vs Aland United W
1:3
Jul 1, 2026 Suomen Cup Women
Aland United W vs KuPS W
1:2
May 17, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Aland United W vs KuPS W
1:6
Sep 27, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women
KuPS W vs Aland United W
2:1
Aug 30, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Aland United W vs KuPS W
2:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aland United W 84 / 100
KuPS W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aland United W KuPS W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aland United W's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

KuPS W let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

Solid form: Aland United W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aland United W VS KuPS W
2.13 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aland United W

(Home)
25 Jul
Aland United W
6 : 1
VIFK Vaasa W
18 Jul
KuPS W
1 : 3
Aland United W
12 Jul
Aland United W
4 : 1
PK-35 Vantaa W
04 Jul
Ilves W
0 : 2
Aland United W
01 Jul
Aland United W
1 : 2
KuPS W
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KuPS W

(Away)
25 Jul
Gnistan W
0 : 1
KuPS W
18 Jul
KuPS W
1 : 3
Aland United W
12 Jul
KuPS W
2 : 4
Ilves W
08 Jul
KuPS W
0 : 1
HJK W
04 Jul
HJK W
2 : 0
KuPS W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1HJK W14130140:939
2Aland United W1491441:1928
3KuPS W1491431:2128
4HPS W1473419:1524
5Ilves W1471627:2622
6Gnistan W1441921:3213
Promotion - Champions League Women 2027/2028 (Qualification - First stage)
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women 2027/2028 (Qualification)