Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aland United W vs PK-35 Vantaa W

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women Wiklöf Holding Arena, Mariehamn
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Hordijk C.
21' Event
Hillberg S.
29'
Antikainen N.

AI Match Summary

The Kansallinen Liiga Women game between Aland United W and PK-35 Vantaa W finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aland United W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Aland United W
20%
Draws
52%
PK-35 Vantaa W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: PK-35 Vantaa W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aland United W come out ahead of PK-35 Vantaa W on wins alone.
  • Model gives PK-35 Vantaa W a 52% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Aland United W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Aland United W Clean Sheet 20%
PK-35 Vantaa W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aland United W PK-35 Vantaa W
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 19 12
Draws 1 3
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 2.41 2.77
Goals Conceded 1.59 2.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Aland United W vs PK-35 Vantaa W
4:1
May 9, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
PK-35 Vantaa W vs Aland United W
0:5
Oct 11, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Aland United W vs PK-35 Vantaa W
3:1
Sep 14, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women
PK-35 Vantaa W vs Aland United W
0:3
Jul 30, 2025 Suomen Cup Women
Aland United W vs PK-35 Vantaa W
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aland United W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hillberg S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pitko N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

PK-35 Vantaa W Compare

Top Goalscorer Forsblom W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aland United W 10 / 100
PK-35 Vantaa W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aland United W PK-35 Vantaa W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PK-35 Vantaa W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aland United W found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).

PK-35 Vantaa W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Aland United W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aland United W VS PK-35 Vantaa W
2.63 Goals Scored 3
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Aland United W

(Home)
03 Oct
Aland United W
3 : 1
Gnistan W
26 Sept
HPS W
1 : 0
Aland United W
19 Sept
Ilves W
2 : 3
Aland United W
13 Sept
Aland United W
0 : 2
KuPS W
29 Aug
HJK W
2 : 1
Aland United W
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PK-35 Vantaa W

(Away)
02 Oct
PK-35 Vantaa W
1 : 1
Honka W
26 Sept
HJS W
0 : 10
PK-35 Vantaa W
17 Sept
PK-35 Vantaa W
6 : 0
JyPK W
12 Sept
PK-35 Vantaa W
5 : 1
VIFK Vaasa W
29 Aug
EBK W
2 : 2
PK-35 Vantaa W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HJK W 14 13 0 1 40:9 39
2 Aland United W 14 9 1 4 41:19 28
3 KuPS W 14 9 1 4 31:21 28
4 HPS W 14 7 3 4 19:15 24
5 Ilves W 14 7 1 6 27:26 22
6 Gnistan W 14 4 1 9 21:32 13
7 PK-35 Vantaa W 14 2 1 11 13:36 7
8 VIFK Vaasa W 14 0 2 12 8:42 2
Promotion - Kansallinen Liiga Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - Kansallinen Liiga Women (Relegation Group)