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Aland United W vs VIFK Vaasa W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women Wiklöf Holding Arena, Mariehamn
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Hagstrom M.
(Penalty)
18' Event
Pitko N.
Assist: Vetter J.
50'
Sub
Antikainen N. In: Nurmi A.
Out: Antikainen N.

AI Match Summary

The Kansallinen Liiga Women game between Aland United W and VIFK Vaasa W finished 6-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aland United W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Aland United W
15%
Draws
51%
VIFK Vaasa W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: VIFK Vaasa W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Aland United W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Aland United W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Aland United W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Aland United W Clean Sheet 16%
VIFK Vaasa W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aland United W VIFK Vaasa W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 4
Draws 1 2
Losses 12 23
Goals Scored 2.27 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.6 2.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Aland United W vs VIFK Vaasa W
6:1
May 21, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
VIFK Vaasa W vs Aland United W
0:2
Sep 24, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Aland United W vs VIFK Vaasa W
2:0
Aug 24, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women
VIFK Vaasa W vs Aland United W
0:2
Aug 9, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women
VIFK Vaasa W vs Aland United W
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aland United W Compare

Top Goalscorer Torronen A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pitko N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

VIFK Vaasa W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aland United W 41 / 100
VIFK Vaasa W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aland United W VIFK Vaasa W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Aland United W scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

VIFK Vaasa W let in goals in 97% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Aland United W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aland United W VS VIFK Vaasa W
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Aland United W

(Home)
03 Oct
Aland United W
3 : 1
Gnistan W
26 Sept
HPS W
1 : 0
Aland United W
19 Sept
Ilves W
2 : 3
Aland United W
13 Sept
Aland United W
0 : 2
KuPS W
29 Aug
HJK W
2 : 1
Aland United W
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VIFK Vaasa W

(Away)
03 Oct
VIFK Vaasa W
2 : 1
EBK W
26 Sept
Honka W
2 : 3
VIFK Vaasa W
20 Sept
VIFK Vaasa W
3 : 4
HJS W
12 Sept
PK-35 Vantaa W
5 : 1
VIFK Vaasa W
29 Aug
VIFK Vaasa W
3 : 1
JyPK W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HJK W 14 13 0 1 40:9 39
2 Aland United W 14 9 1 4 41:19 28
3 KuPS W 14 9 1 4 31:21 28
4 HPS W 14 7 3 4 19:15 24
5 Ilves W 14 7 1 6 27:26 22
6 Gnistan W 14 4 1 9 21:32 13
7 PK-35 Vantaa W 14 2 1 11 13:36 7
8 VIFK Vaasa W 14 0 2 12 8:42 2
Promotion - Kansallinen Liiga Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - Kansallinen Liiga Women (Relegation Group)