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Alania Vladikavkaz vs Dynamo Moscow 2

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2025/2026 Respublikanskij Stadion Spartak
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AI Match Summary

Alania Vladikavkaz play Dynamo Moscow 2 in the FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Alania Vladikavkaz averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. Dynamo Moscow 2 averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. In past meetings, Alania Vladikavkaz won 1, Dynamo Moscow 2 won 0, and they drew 3. Their last match on May 16, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Alania Vladikavkaz and 1.56 for Dynamo Moscow 2. This points to a Alania Vladikavkaz double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Alania Vladikavkaz
35%
Draws
27%
Dynamo Moscow 2
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Alania Vladikavkaz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Alania Vladikavkaz picked up more points recently compared to Dynamo Moscow 2.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Alania Vladikavkaz Clean Sheet 15%
Dynamo Moscow 2 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alania Vladikavkaz Dynamo Moscow 2
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 6 11
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.23 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.53 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Alania Vladikavkaz vs Dynamo Moscow 2
1:1
Mar 28, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Dynamo Moscow 2 vs Alania Vladikavkaz
0:2
Oct 5, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Alania Vladikavkaz vs Dynamo Moscow 2
0:0
Aug 10, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Dynamo Moscow 2 vs Alania Vladikavkaz
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alania Vladikavkaz Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdulkhamidov M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Dynamo Moscow 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nikiforov M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alania Vladikavkaz 37 / 100
Dynamo Moscow 2 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alania Vladikavkaz Dynamo Moscow 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Alania Vladikavkaz or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Alania Vladikavkaz attacking → ← attacking Dynamo Moscow 2

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alania Vladikavkaz scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Dynamo Moscow 2 let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Alania Vladikavkaz went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Dynamo Moscow 2 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 29
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1D. Bryansk18113423:1936
2Kirov1889131:1633
3Alania Vladikavkaz1875623:2226
4Dynamo Vladivostok1866621:2024
5Amkar1866630:2624
6Dynamo Moscow 21857629:3622
7Zenit St Petersburg 21864833:3722
8Tyumen1855825:2520
9Dynamo Stavropol18531020:2618
10Kuban1846817:2518