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Alanya 1221 vs Bursa Yildirimspor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 2
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
0 - 1
12:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Assist: Yalcin F.

AI Match Summary

Alanya 1221 host Bursa Yildirimspor in the 3. Lig Group 2. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Alanya 1221 at 0.96 goals for, 1.21 against; Bursa Yildirimspor at 1.32 for, 1 against. Head-to-head, Alanya 1221 have won 2 to Bursa Yildirimspor's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 26, 2025, ending 1:0. The numbers (0.75 xG vs 1.69) point toward Bursa Yildirimspor. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
Alanya 1221
30%
Draws
64%
Bursa Yildirimspor
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bursa Yildirimspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bursa Yildirimspor lately — more wins on the board than Alanya 1221.
  • Bursa Yildirimspor are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Alanya 1221 Clean Sheet 13%
Bursa Yildirimspor Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alanya 1221 Bursa Yildirimspor
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 12
Draws 6 10
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 0.96 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.21 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2025 3. Lig Group 3
Bursa Yildirimspor vs Alanya 1221
1:0
Sep 15, 2024 3. Lig Group 3
Alanya 1221 vs Bursa Yildirimspor
2:3
Mar 3, 2024 3. Lig Group 4
Bursa Yildirimspor vs Alanya 1221
1:1
Oct 22, 2023 3. Lig Group 4
Alanya 1221 vs Bursa Yildirimspor
2:1
Sep 29, 2021 Turkish Cup
Alanya 1221 vs Bursa Yildirimspor
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alanya 1221 10 / 100
Bursa Yildirimspor 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alanya 1221 Bursa Yildirimspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bursa Yildirimspor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bursa Yildirimspor has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Alanya 1221 found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (28 games).

Alanya 1221 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alanya 1221 VS Bursa Yildirimspor
0.38 Goals Scored 1.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Alanya 1221

(Home)
07 Oct
Soma Spor
4 : 2
Alanya 1221
03 Oct
Altay
0 : 0
Alanya 1221
26 Sept
Alanya 1221
0 : 3
Etimesgut
19 Sept
Aksehirspor
3 : 1
Alanya 1221
13 Sept
Alanya 1221
0 : 3
Balikesirspor
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Bursa Yildirimspor

(Away)
07 Oct
Bursa Yildirimspor
2 : 0
Amasyaspor
03 Oct
Bursa Yildirimspor
1 : 0
Bucaspor 1928
27 Sept
Gemlikspor
0 : 0
Bursa Yildirimspor
19 Sept
Bursa Yildirimspor
2 : 2
Karsiyaka
13 Sept
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu
0 : 2
Bursa Yildirimspor
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gemlikspor 5 4 1 0 9:1 13
2 Etimesgut 5 4 0 1 7:1 12
3 Eskisehir Anadolu 5 3 2 0 10:3 11
4 Bursa Yildirimspor 5 3 2 0 6:2 11
5 Eskisehirspor 5 3 1 1 16:6 10
6 Ayvalikgucu 5 3 1 1 10:6 10
7 Balikesirspor 5 3 0 2 14:12 9
8 Bigaspor 5 2 2 1 10:7 8
9 Soke 1970 5 1 3 1 5:4 6
10 Altay 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
11 Gaziemir Spor Kulubu 5 2 0 3 6:7 6
12 Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
13 Karsiyaka 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
14 Bucaspor 1928 5 1 0 4 4:10 3
15 Aksehirspor 5 1 0 4 4:13 3
16 Kepez Bld. 5 0 2 3 2:8 2
17 Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu 5 0 2 3 1:10 2
18 Alanya 1221 5 0 1 4 1:13 1
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 (Play Offs)