Sport Picks

Turkey

3. Lig Group 4 2023/2024

Siirt Ozel

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Alanya 1221 play Siirt Ozel in the 3. Lig Group 4 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Alanya 1221 averaged 1 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. Siirt Ozel averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. In past meetings, Alanya 1221 won 4, Siirt Ozel won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 21, 2024 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Alanya 1221 and 1.00 for Siirt Ozel. This points to a Alanya 1221 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%

Alanya 1221

19%

Draws

33%

Siirt Ozel

Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Alanya 1221

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Alanya 1221 picked up more points recently compared to Siirt Ozel.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 66%

Over 2.5 Goals 28%

Over 3.5 Goals 17%

Over 4.5 Goals 8%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37%

Alanya 1221 Clean Sheet 23%

Siirt Ozel Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 59%

Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Alanya 1221	Siirt Ozel
Matches Played	36	30
Wins	12	8
Draws	10	8
Losses	14	14
Goals Scored	1	0.83
Goals Conceded	1.14	1.2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2024 3. Lig Group 4

Siirt Ozel vs Alanya 1221

Possession: 54% - 43% Cards: 2 - 2

2:0

Dec 10, 2023 3. Lig Group 4

Alanya 1221 vs Siirt Ozel

Possession: 53% - 50% Cards: 0 - 3

2:0

May 7, 2022 3. Lig Group 2

Alanya 1221 vs Siirt Ozel

Possession: 59% - 41% Cards: 0 - 1

2:1

Dec 26, 2021 3. Lig Group 2

Siirt Ozel vs Alanya 1221

Possession: 41% - 44% Cards: 4 - 1

0:1

Feb 17, 2021 3. Lig Group 4

Alanya 1221 vs Siirt Ozel

Possession: 54% - 44% Cards: 3 - 1

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alanya 1221 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bulut S.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Ergen F.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Siirt Ozel Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alanya 1221 48 / 100

Siirt Ozel 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Alanya 1221 Siirt Ozel

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Alanya 1221 or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +20%

2.50

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +27.4%

4.55

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Alanya 1221 attacking → ← attacking Siirt Ozel

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alanya 1221 scored in 58% of their last 36 games.

Siirt Ozel let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Alanya 1221 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Siirt Ozel lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 32

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Adana 01	28	20	3	5	60:27	63
2	Sebat Spor Kulubu	28	15	5	8	42:27	50
3	Musspor	28	12	11	5	41:29	47
4	Tokat Bld Plevnespor	28	12	9	7	32:27	45
5	Alanya 1221	28	11	10	7	42:33	43
6	Bursa Yildirimspor	28	11	9	8	39:34	42
7	Orduspor 1967	28	11	8	9	49:33	41
8	Balikesirspor	28	7	12	9	28:32	33
9	Izmir Coruhlu	28	8	7	13	34:39	31
10	Cankaya FK	28	6	13	9	26:37	31
11	23 Elazig FK	28	8	7	13	25:42	31
12	Nevsehir	28	8	6	14	19:31	30
13	Siirt Ozel	28	7	8	13	21:32	29
14	Catalca Spor	28	5	11	12	27:38	26
15	Sultanbeyli	28	6	7	15	26:50	25