Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alanya 1221 vs Usak Belediyespor Kulubu

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Ozdemir B.
90'
Mumci A.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 4 game between Alanya 1221 and Usak Belediyespor Kulubu finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alanya 1221.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Alanya 1221
6%
Draws
4%
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Alanya 1221

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Usak Belediyespor Kulubu come out ahead of Alanya 1221 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Alanya 1221's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Alanya 1221 Clean Sheet 68%
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alanya 1221 Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 15
Draws 8 3
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 0.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 3. Lig Group 4
Alanya 1221 vs Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
1:0
Dec 6, 2025 3. Lig Group 4
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu vs Alanya 1221
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alanya 1221 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ozdemir B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Usak Belediyespor Kulubu Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alanya 1221 95 / 100
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alanya 1221 Usak Belediyespor Kulubu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Alanya 1221 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Usak Belediyespor Kulubu lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Alanya 1221 found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Alanya 1221 VS Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
1.25 Goals Scored 1
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
25% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alanya 1221

(Home)
18 Apr
Eskisehirspor
1 : 0
Alanya 1221
12 Apr
Alanya 1221
0 : 0
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu
05 Apr
Ayvalikgucu
0 : 1
Alanya 1221
29 Mar
Alanya 1221
1 : 0
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
25 Mar
Altay
0 : 0
Alanya 1221
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Usak Belediyespor Kulubu

(Away)
18 Apr
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
3 : 0
Nazillispor
12 Apr
Izmir Coruhlu
3 : 1
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
05 Apr
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
0 : 1
Eskisehir Anadolu
29 Mar
Alanya 1221
1 : 0
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
25 Mar
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
0 : 2
Balikesirspor
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kutahyaspor30243369:1875
2Eskisehirspor30225374:1871
3Karsiyaka30207364:1967
4Ayvalikgucu30185759:2759
5Balikesirspor30177659:2458
6Usak Belediyespor Kulubu301531235:3548
7Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu301451137:3347
8Alanya 1221301081228:3338
9Tire 2021 FK301071347:3937
10Soke 1970301051539:4335
11Eskisehir Anadolu30981344:4235
12Altay30971429:4128
13Izmir Coruhlu30651928:6623
14Afyonspor30571831:6122
15Bornova 187730561935:6821
16Nazillispor3004267:1184
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)