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Alanyaspor vs Goztepe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

Super Lig Alanya Oba Stadium, Alanya
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Match Events

22'
Juan Santos
28' Event
Rhaldney
Assist: Antunes A.
57'
Sub
Gezek B. In: Ozdemir Y.
Out: Gezek B.

AI Match Summary

The Super Lig game between Alanyaspor and Goztepe finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Alanyaspor
35%
Draws
13%
Goztepe
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Alanyaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Alanyaspor haven't matched Goztepe's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Alanyaspor a 52% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Alanyaspor Clean Sheet 68%
Goztepe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alanyaspor Goztepe
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 9
Draws 12 12
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.38 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Super Lig
Alanyaspor vs Goztepe
2:2
Mar 14, 2026 Super Lig
Goztepe vs Alanyaspor
2:2
Oct 19, 2025 Super Lig
Alanyaspor vs Goztepe
1:0
Feb 2, 2025 Super Lig
Goztepe vs Alanyaspor
0:1
Aug 23, 2024 Super Lig
Alanyaspor vs Goztepe
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alanyaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandes P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Makouta G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Goztepe Compare

Top Goalscorer Rhaldney
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alanyaspor 68 / 100
Goztepe 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alanyaspor Goztepe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alanyaspor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alanyaspor scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Goztepe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Alanyaspor stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alanyaspor VS Goztepe
1 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Alanyaspor

(Home)
10 Oct
Alanyaspor
0 : 0
Erzurumspor FK
19 Sept
Corum FK
1 : 2
Alanyaspor
12 Sept
Alanyaspor
2 : 2
Goztepe
07 Sept
Rizespor
0 : 1
Alanyaspor
30 Aug
Eyupspor
2 : 1
Alanyaspor
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Goztepe

(Away)
20 Sept
Goztepe
2 : 2
Rizespor
12 Sept
Alanyaspor
2 : 2
Goztepe
07 Sept
Goztepe
2 : 4
Gaziantep
29 Aug
Galatasaray
3 : 2
Goztepe
23 Aug
Goztepe
0 : 1
Genclerbirligi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Galatasaray 7 5 1 1 16:11 16
2 Amedspor 7 4 2 1 17:9 14
3 Fenerbahce 7 4 1 2 19:6 13
4 Trabzonspor 7 4 1 2 16:5 13
5 Besiktas 6 4 0 2 14:7 12
6 Kocaelispor 6 4 0 2 7:4 12
7 Alanyaspor 7 3 3 1 8:6 12
8 Kasimpasa 7 2 4 1 8:8 10
9 Rizespor 7 3 1 3 7:9 10
10 Gaziantep 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
11 Basaksehir 7 2 2 3 10:11 8
12 Genclerbirligi 7 2 2 3 7:15 8
13 Erzurumspor FK 7 2 2 3 3:11 8
14 Corum FK 6 2 1 3 13:12 7
15 Konyaspor 7 1 2 4 4:8 5
16 Samsunspor 7 1 1 5 6:15 4
17 Goztepe 6 0 3 3 11:15 3
18 Eyupspor 6 1 0 5 2:16 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)