Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alanyaspor vs Kayserispor

Turkey Turkey

Super Lig 2025/2026 Alanya Oba Stadium, Alanya
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Elia M.
13' Event
Benes L.
Assist: Cardoso M.
40' Event
Hadergjonaj F.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Super Lig 2025/2026 game between Alanyaspor and Kayserispor finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alanyaspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Alanyaspor
20%
Draws
38%
Kayserispor
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alanyaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Kayserispor have managed 0.75 goals a game lately — Alanyaspor are scoring more at 1.38.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Alanyaspor taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Alanyaspor Clean Sheet 20%
Kayserispor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alanyaspor Kayserispor
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 12 8
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.38 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Super Lig
Alanyaspor vs Kayserispor
3:1
Dec 13, 2025 Super Lig
Kayserispor vs Alanyaspor
0:0
Jul 31, 2025 Club Friendly
Kayserispor vs Alanyaspor
0:2
May 3, 2025 Super Lig
Alanyaspor vs Kayserispor
1:1
Dec 8, 2024 Super Lig
Kayserispor vs Alanyaspor
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alanyaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Elia M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kaya I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Kayserispor Compare

Top Goalscorer Benes L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alanyaspor 42 / 100
Kayserispor 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alanyaspor Kayserispor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alanyaspor found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Kayserispor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Alanyaspor remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Alanyaspor VS Kayserispor
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alanyaspor

(Home)
16 Jul
Alanyaspor
2 : 2
Tikves
16 May
F. Karagumruk
2 : 1
Alanyaspor
09 May
Alanyaspor
3 : 1
Kayserispor
03 May
Antalyaspor
0 : 0
Alanyaspor
27 Apr
Alanyaspor
2 : 3
Samsunspor
Page 1 of 6

Kayserispor

(Away)
19 Jul
Kayserispor
1 : 2
Pendikspor
17 May
Kayserispor
2 : 1
Konyaspor
09 May
Alanyaspor
3 : 1
Kayserispor
03 May
Kayserispor
1 : 1
Eyupspor
25 Apr
Kayserispor
2 : 0
Rizespor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Galatasaray34245577:3077
2Fenerbahce342111277:3774
3Trabzonspor34209561:3969
4Besiktas34179859:4060
5Basaksehir34169958:3557
6Goztepe341413742:3255
7Samsunspor341312946:4551
8Rizespor3410111346:5241
9Konyaspor3410101443:5040
10Kocaelispor349101526:3837
11Alanyaspor347161141:4137
12Gaziantep349101543:5837
13Kasimpasa348111533:4935
14Genclerbirligi34971836:4734
15Eyupspor34891733:4833
16Antalyaspor34881833:5532
17Kayserispor346121627:6230
18F. Karagumruk34862031:5430
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig (Main)