Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alanyaspor vs Samsunspor

Turkey Turkey

Super Lig 2025/2026 Alanya Oba Stadium, Alanya
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Tavsan E.
23'
Mounie S.
37' Event
Tavsan E.
Assist: Diabbate A. B.

AI Match Summary

The Super Lig 2025/2026 game between Alanyaspor and Samsunspor finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Samsunspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Alanyaspor
40%
Draws
29%
Samsunspor
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Alanyaspor haven't matched Samsunspor's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Super Lig 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Alanyaspor Clean Sheet 13%
Samsunspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alanyaspor Samsunspor
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 13
Draws 12 7
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.13 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2026 Super Lig
Alanyaspor vs Samsunspor
2:3
Dec 1, 2025 Super Lig
Samsunspor vs Alanyaspor
1:1
Apr 21, 2025 Super Lig
Alanyaspor vs Samsunspor
1:0
Nov 24, 2024 Super Lig
Samsunspor vs Alanyaspor
1:1
May 18, 2024 Super Lig
Samsunspor vs Alanyaspor
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alanyaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Yalcin G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Elia M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Samsunspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Tavsan E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ntcham O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alanyaspor 31 / 100
Samsunspor 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alanyaspor Samsunspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alanyaspor's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Samsunspor conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Alanyaspor went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alanyaspor VS Samsunspor
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Alanyaspor

(Home)
16 Jul
Alanyaspor
2 : 2
Tikves
16 May
F. Karagumruk
2 : 1
Alanyaspor
09 May
Alanyaspor
3 : 1
Kayserispor
03 May
Antalyaspor
0 : 0
Alanyaspor
27 Apr
Alanyaspor
2 : 3
Samsunspor
Page 1 of 6

Samsunspor

(Away)
25 Jul
RAAL La Louviere
0 : 0
Samsunspor
22 Jul
Dunkerque
2 : 1
Samsunspor
16 May
Samsunspor
3 : 0
Goztepe
09 May
Basaksehir
3 : 0
Samsunspor
02 May
Samsunspor
4 : 1
Galatasaray
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Galatasaray34245577:3077
2Fenerbahce342111277:3774
3Trabzonspor34209561:3969
4Besiktas34179859:4060
5Basaksehir34169958:3557
6Goztepe341413742:3255
7Samsunspor341312946:4551
8Rizespor3410111346:5241
9Konyaspor3410101443:5040
10Kocaelispor349101526:3837
11Alanyaspor347161141:4137
12Gaziantep349101543:5837
13Kasimpasa348111533:4935
14Genclerbirligi34971836:4734
15Eyupspor34891733:4833
16Antalyaspor34881833:5532
17Kayserispor346121627:6230
18F. Karagumruk34862031:5430
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig (Main)