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Alashkert vs FC Gandzasar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Armenia Armenia

Premier League Alashkert Stadium, Yerevan
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Cezar
41'
Asatryan M.
43'
Mani B.

AI Match Summary

Alashkert in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alashkert.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Alashkert
35%
Draws
0%
FC Gandzasar
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Alashkert

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Alashkert lately — more wins on the board than FC Gandzasar.
  • Model gives Alashkert a 65% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Alashkert Clean Sheet 20%
FC Gandzasar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alashkert FC Gandzasar
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 5
Draws 9 6
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 1.6 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Premier League
Alashkert vs FC Gandzasar
3:0
May 9, 2026 Premier League
Alashkert vs FC Gandzasar
3:1
Nov 3, 2025 Premier League
FC Gandzasar vs Alashkert
1:0
Sep 21, 2025 Premier League
Alashkert vs FC Gandzasar
2:0
Sep 17, 2025 Armenian Cup
FC Gandzasar vs Alashkert
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alashkert Compare

Top Goalscorer Cezar
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nalbandyan K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

FC Gandzasar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alashkert 85 / 100
FC Gandzasar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alashkert FC Gandzasar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alashkert Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alashkert's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: FC Gandzasar conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Alashkert stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: FC Gandzasar registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alashkert VS FC Gandzasar
1.88 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Alashkert

(Home)
10 Oct
Ararat-Armenia
1 : 1
Alashkert
19 Sept
Alashkert
3 : 3
Pyunik Yerevan
13 Sept
Sardarapat
1 : 1
Alashkert
03 Sept
Alashkert
4 : 0
Van
28 Aug
Urartu
1 : 1
Alashkert
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FC Gandzasar

(Away)
10 Oct
Van
2 : 0
FC Gandzasar
18 Sept
FC Gandzasar
0 : 3
Urartu
12 Sept
FC Gandzasar
0 : 2
Ararat Yerevan
04 Sept
Noah
3 : 2
FC Gandzasar
30 Aug
FC Gandzasar
0 : 3
BKMA
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Noah 9 9 0 0 26:6 27
2 Ararat-Armenia 9 6 2 1 18:9 20
3 Pyunik Yerevan 8 5 3 0 18:8 18
4 Alashkert 9 4 4 1 19:7 16
5 Urartu 9 3 3 3 14:12 12
6 Sardarapat 9 3 3 3 15:17 12
7 Shirak Gyumri 8 3 1 4 11:10 10
8 Ararat Yerevan 9 3 1 5 8:15 10
9 BKMA 8 2 2 4 8:10 8
10 Van 9 2 1 6 6:21 7
11 FC Gandzasar 9 1 0 8 8:22 3
12 Syunik 8 0 2 6 3:17 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027/2028 (Main)