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Alaves B vs Alfaro

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Zaldua X.
32' Event
Aragues C.
50' Event
Pinillos Wilson L.

AI Match Summary

Alaves B in this Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alaves B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Alaves B
6%
Draws
4%
Alfaro
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Alaves B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Alfaro haven't matched Alaves B's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Alaves B's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Alaves B Clean Sheet 68%
Alfaro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alaves B Alfaro
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 6
Draws 10 5
Losses 5 19
Goals Scored 1.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.75 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Alaves B vs Alfaro
2:0
Oct 26, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Alfaro vs Alaves B
0:3
Apr 27, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Alfaro vs Alaves B
2:4
Dec 15, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Alaves B vs Alfaro
0:1
Apr 9, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Alfaro vs Alaves B
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alaves B Compare

Top Goalscorer Aragues C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pinillos Wilson L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Alfaro Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alaves B 95 / 100
Alfaro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alaves B Alfaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alaves B's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Alfaro has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Alaves B remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Alaves B VS Alfaro
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Alaves B

(Home)
17 May
Alaves B
0 : 2
Jaen
10 May
Jaen
1 : 2
Alaves B
03 May
Gernika Club
0 : 0
Alaves B
26 Apr
Tudelano
1 : 2
Alaves B
18 Apr
Alaves B
3 : 0
SD Ejea
Page 1 of 6

Alfaro

(Away)
01 May
Real Union
2 : 0
Alfaro
26 Apr
Alfaro
0 : 1
SD Logrones
19 Apr
Alfaro
2 : 1
Naxara
12 Apr
Tudelano
3 : 1
Alfaro
02 Apr
Alfaro
3 : 1
Zaragoza B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Union 34 20 9 5 64:35 69
2 Alaves B 34 17 11 6 41:20 62
3 UD Logrones 34 18 7 9 73:33 61
4 Utebo FC 34 17 7 10 56:42 58
5 Tudelano 34 16 9 9 56:40 57
6 Amorebieta 34 13 11 10 38:32 50
7 Sestao 34 12 14 8 40:33 50
8 Ebro 34 11 16 7 42:36 49
9 Eibar B 34 14 7 13 41:42 49
10 Basconia 34 11 14 9 55:43 47
11 Gernika Club 34 12 9 13 34:40 45
12 Naxara 34 11 8 15 39:48 41
13 SD Logrones 34 8 13 13 22:40 37
14 Beasain 34 8 12 14 38:46 36
15 SD Ejea 34 8 11 15 35:55 35
16 Mutilvera 34 8 6 20 31:65 30
17 Zaragoza B 34 7 7 20 32:59 28
18 Alfaro 34 6 7 21 32:60 25
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)