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Alaves B vs Amorebieta

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Muguruza J.
59' Event
Torre I.
77'
Mendes T.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Alaves B and Amorebieta finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Amorebieta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Alaves B
15%
Draws
31%
Amorebieta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alaves B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Alaves B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Alaves B a 54% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Alaves B Clean Sheet 68%
Amorebieta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alaves B Amorebieta
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 10
Draws 7 8
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1.41 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Club Friendly
Alaves B vs Amorebieta
1:2
Apr 5, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Alaves B vs Amorebieta
1:2
Nov 15, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Amorebieta vs Alaves B
0:0
Feb 20, 2021 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Amorebieta vs Alaves B
3:2
Nov 22, 2020 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Alaves B vs Amorebieta
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alaves B Compare

Top Goalscorer Manas A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Amorebieta Compare

Top Goalscorer Muguruza J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Torre I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alaves B 77 / 100
Amorebieta 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alaves B Amorebieta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alaves B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alaves B scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Amorebieta has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Alaves B has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alaves B VS Amorebieta
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alaves B

(Home)
03 Oct
Portugalete
0 : 2
Alaves B
27 Sept
Arosa SC
2 : 5
Alaves B
20 Sept
Alaves B
3 : 1
Real Oviedo B
13 Sept
Llanera
1 : 2
Alaves B
05 Sept
Alaves B
0 : 2
Coruxo FC
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Amorebieta

(Away)
03 Oct
Atletico Astorga
0 : 1
Amorebieta
26 Sept
Amorebieta
0 : 1
Ourense CF
20 Sept
Rayo Cantabria
0 : 2
Amorebieta
13 Sept
Bergantinos
1 : 0
Amorebieta
06 Sept
Amorebieta
2 : 2
Arosa SC
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