Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alaves B vs Gernika Club - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alaves B host Gernika Club in the Segunda RFEF - Group 1. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Alaves B at 1.41 goals for, 0.76 against; Gernika Club at 1.17 for, 1.31 against. Head-to-head, Alaves B have won 0 to Gernika Club's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on May 3, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.88 - 1.31) back Alaves B to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Alaves B
20%
Draws
32%
Gernika Club
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alaves B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Gernika Club haven't matched Alaves B's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Alaves B taking it.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Alaves B Clean Sheet 18%
Gernika Club Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alaves B Gernika Club
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 8
Draws 7 9
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 1.41 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Gernika Club vs Alaves B
0:0
Oct 19, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Alaves B vs Gernika Club
0:1
Jan 26, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Alaves B vs Gernika Club
0:1
Sep 15, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Gernika Club vs Alaves B
1:1
Jan 28, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Alaves B vs Gernika Club
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alaves B 36 / 100
Gernika Club 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alaves B Gernika Club

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alaves B found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Gernika Club has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Alaves B has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Alaves B VS Gernika Club
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Alaves B

(Home)
03 Oct
Portugalete
0 : 2
Alaves B
27 Sept
Arosa SC
2 : 5
Alaves B
20 Sept
Alaves B
3 : 1
Real Oviedo B
13 Sept
Llanera
1 : 2
Alaves B
05 Sept
Alaves B
0 : 2
Coruxo FC
Page 1 of 6

Gernika Club

(Away)
04 Oct
Gernika Club
1 : 2
Sestao
27 Sept
Coruxo FC
1 : 1
Gernika Club
20 Sept
Gernika Club
4 : 0
Llanera
13 Sept
Arosa SC
0 : 4
Gernika Club
06 Sept
Gernika Club
2 : 2
Bergantinos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergantinos 5 4 1 0 12:5 13
2 Eibar B 5 4 0 1 10:3 12
3 Alaves B 5 4 0 1 12:6 12
4 Sestao 5 4 0 1 7:3 12
5 Ourense CF 5 3 1 1 5:3 10
6 Gernika Club 5 2 2 1 12:5 8
7 Basconia 5 2 2 1 9:8 8
8 Amorebieta 5 2 1 2 5:4 7
9 Portugalete 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
10 Real Oviedo B 5 2 1 2 8:10 7
11 Marino De Luanco 5 2 0 3 6:8 6
12 Coruxo FC 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
13 Compostela 5 1 1 3 3:6 4
14 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 5 1 1 3 6:10 4
15 Llanera 5 1 1 3 5:10 4
16 Atletico Astorga 5 1 0 4 5:7 3
17 Arosa SC 5 0 3 2 6:13 3
18 Rayo Cantabria 5 0 1 4 3:11 1
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)