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Alaves B vs SD Erandio

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2014/2015
Alaves B Logo

Alaves B

4 - 4
FT
SD Erandio Logo

SD Erandio

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 4 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 4-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Alaves B
20%
Draws
46%
SD Erandio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SD Erandio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Alaves B have won more games recently than SD Erandio.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 4 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Alaves B Clean Sheet 20%
SD Erandio Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alaves B SD Erandio
Matches Played 38 29
Wins 19 6
Draws 13 5
Losses 6 18
Goals Scored 1.39 0.86
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.78
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Alaves B vs SD Erandio
4:4
Nov 9, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SD Erandio vs Alaves B
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alaves B 32 / 100
SD Erandio 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alaves B SD Erandio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SD Erandio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Alaves B scored in 76% of their last 38 outings.

SD Erandio has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Alaves B stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alaves B VS SD Erandio
1.25 Goals Scored 0.67
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 33%
50% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alaves B

(Home)
05 Sept
Alaves B
0 : 2
Coruxo FC
22 Aug
Alaves B
1 : 2
Amorebieta
21 Aug
Naxara
0 : 1
Alaves B
17 May
Alaves B
0 : 2
Jaen
10 May
Jaen
1 : 2
Alaves B
Page 1 of 8

SD Erandio

(Away)
05 Sept
Pasaia
0 : 2
SD Erandio
12 Aug
Santurtzi
0 : 0
SD Erandio
16 May
Amurrio Club
2 : 2
SD Erandio
10 May
SD Erandio
2 : 4
Arenas Getxo
01 May
SD Erandio
1 : 0
Aurrera de Vitoria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugalete 38 20 15 3 68:27 75
2 Gernika Club 38 21 12 5 54:21 75
3 Arenas Getxo 38 20 11 7 62:31 71
4 SCD Durango 38 20 7 11 43:30 67
5 Beasain 38 18 13 7 52:41 67
6 Zalla UC 38 18 12 8 50:36 66
7 Alaves B 38 16 10 12 52:41 58
8 Real Sociedad C 38 15 12 11 38:32 57
9 Balmaseda 38 16 7 15 43:37 55
10 Santurtzi 38 14 9 15 48:49 51
11 Zamudio 38 13 11 14 53:49 50
12 Aurrera de Vitoria 38 14 7 17 44:48 49
13 Santutxu FC 38 12 10 16 31:43 46
14 Bermeo 38 10 15 13 35:49 45
15 Lagun Onak 38 11 10 17 38:43 43
16 Basconia 38 10 12 16 44:57 42
17 Pasaia 38 10 8 20 35:49 38
18 SD Erandio 38 9 5 24 33:62 32
19 Oiartzun 38 5 11 22 24:55 26
20 Amurrio Club 38 5 9 24 25:72 24
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)