Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Alaves C host Leioa in the Tercera RFEF - Group 4. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Leioa have shipped 1.52 goals a game lately, while Alaves C have conceded 1.29 and scored 2.04. Head-to-head, Alaves C have won 0 to Leioa's 2, with 3 draws. They last met on Mar 28, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 2.81 vs 1.19, favoring Leioa. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Leioa come out ahead of Alaves C on wins alone.
- Alaves C are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alaves C | Leioa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 33 |
| Wins | 12 | 15 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 9 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 2.04 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.81 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Alaves C scored in 89% of their last 28 games.
Leioa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 33 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Alaves C has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Alaves C
(Home)Leioa
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:4 | 13 |
| 2 | Derio | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8:3 | 12 |
| 3 | Pasaia | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 10 |
| 4 | Leioa | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 12:6 | 9 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad C | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 8 |
| 6 | San Ignacio | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 8 |
| 7 | Touring KE | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 8 |
| 8 | UD Aretxabaleta | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 8 |
| 9 | Sodupe | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:9 | 8 |
| 10 | Alaves C | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11:6 | 7 |
| 11 | SCD Durango | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 9:9 | 7 |
| 12 | Lagun Onak | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | 7 |
| 13 | SD Erandio | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:6 | 6 |
| 14 | Eibar C | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 5 |
| 15 | Real Union B | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:11 | 5 |
| 16 | Beasain | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 17 | Santurtzi | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2:7 | 3 |
| 18 | Amurrio Club | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1:12 | 1 |
