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Alaves C vs Urduliz FT - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Cancio O.
69' Event
Fernandez I.
72'
Cancio O.

AI Match Summary

Alaves C in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alaves C.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Alaves C
20%
Draws
47%
Urduliz FT
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Urduliz FT

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Urduliz FT haven't matched Alaves C's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Alaves C's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Alaves C Clean Sheet 68%
Urduliz FT Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alaves C Urduliz FT
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 8
Draws 7 8
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 2.06 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Alaves C vs Urduliz FT
3:1
Sep 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Urduliz FT vs Alaves C
2:0
Apr 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Alaves C vs Urduliz FT
2:2
Nov 18, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Urduliz FT vs Alaves C
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alaves C Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Echevarria M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

Urduliz FT Compare

Top Goalscorer Cancio O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alaves C 95 / 100
Urduliz FT 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alaves C Urduliz FT

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alaves C Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Alaves C scored in 90% of their last 31 outings.

Urduliz FT's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Alaves C stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alaves C VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alaves C

(Home)
04 Oct
Alaves C
5 : 1
Sodupe
26 Sept
Alaves C
1 : 2
Touring KE
19 Sept
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 1
Alaves C
12 Sept
Alaves C
3 : 0
Amurrio Club
05 Sept
Eibar C
1 : 1
Alaves C
Page 1 of 7

Urduliz FT

(Away)
10 May
Urduliz FT
0 : 0
Beasain
03 May
Pasaia
0 : 2
Urduliz FT
27 Apr
Urduliz FT
2 : 0
San Ignacio
17 Apr
Basconia
8 : 0
Urduliz FT
12 Apr
Urduliz FT
3 : 1
Leioa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Basconia 34 23 7 4 89:32 76
2 Portugalete 34 19 13 2 66:29 70
3 Leioa 34 20 6 8 55:34 66
4 Beasain 34 19 7 8 53:34 64
5 SD Deusto 34 15 9 10 43:35 54
6 Alaves C 34 14 6 14 41:41 48
7 Touring KE 34 13 9 12 39:45 48
8 Derio 34 12 11 11 39:39 47
9 Eibar C 34 12 10 12 46:51 46
10 UD Aretxabaleta 34 12 8 14 40:45 44
11 Lagun Onak 34 11 9 14 44:49 42
12 San Ignacio 34 11 9 14 32:41 42
13 SCD Durango 34 9 13 12 43:37 40
14 Pasaia 34 10 9 15 45:60 39
15 Santurtzi 34 8 14 12 46:43 38
16 Urduliz FT 34 9 9 16 37:56 36
17 Padura 34 7 8 19 31:48 29
18 San Viator 34 1 5 28 21:91 8
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2024/2025 (Play Offs)