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Alaves vs Getafe

Spain Spain

LaLiga Estadio Mendizorrotza, Vitoria-Gasteiz
Sat, Aug 15, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alaves host Getafe in the LaLiga. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Alaves have averaged 1.25 scored and 1.13 conceded recently, against Getafe's 0.75 scored and 0.75 conceded. Past meetings favor Getafe slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 8, 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 0.94) point toward Getafe. Under 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Alaves
20%
Draws
38%
Getafe
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alaves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Getafe lately — more wins on the board than Alaves.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Alaves taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Alaves Clean Sheet 68%
Getafe Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alaves Getafe
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 8 5
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.25 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 LaLiga
Alaves vs Getafe
0:2
Sep 24, 2025 LaLiga
Getafe vs Alaves
1:1
Feb 9, 2025 LaLiga
Alaves vs Getafe
0:1
Sep 28, 2024 LaLiga
Getafe vs Alaves
2:0
May 18, 2024 LaLiga
Alaves vs Getafe
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alaves 51 / 100
Getafe 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alaves Getafe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alaves's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Getafe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Alaves remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Alaves VS Getafe
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Alaves

(Home)
25 Jul
Girona
0 : 1
Alaves
18 Jul
Alaves
1 : 1
Eibar
23 May
Alaves
1 : 2
Rayo Vallecano
17 May
Real Oviedo
0 : 1
Alaves
13 May
Alaves
1 : 0
Barcelona
Page 1 of 6

Getafe

(Away)
25 Jul
Valladolid
0 : 0
Getafe
22 Jul
Tenerife
1 : 2
Getafe
17 Jul
Getafe
1 : 0
Reading
23 May
Getafe
1 : 0
Osasuna
17 May
Elche
1 : 0
Getafe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Sociedad00000:00
2Elche00000:00
3Alaves00000:00
4Celta Vigo00000:00
5Malaga00000:00
6Rayo Vallecano00000:00
7Real Madrid00000:00
8Villarreal00000:00
9Barcelona00000:00
10Atl. Madrid00000:00
11Sevilla00000:00
12Racing Santander00000:00
13Dep. A Coruna00000:00
14Valencia00000:00
15Ath Bilbao00000:00
16Espanyol00000:00
17Betis00000:00
18Getafe00000:00
19Osasuna00000:00
20Levante00000:00
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)